TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No22c24,501$5,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,218.7331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes16c13,433$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.9936727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c10,732$7,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.212,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes48c9,758$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.1214443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c7,837$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.171,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c7,012$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.825,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes42c3,829$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.712040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes54c2,839$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+65.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No20c2,581$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.3330841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes38c2,515$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.563046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes42c2,355$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.341764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes79c2,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.7618160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c2,245$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.381,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c1,896$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.971,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes19c1,745$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.83234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c1,630$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.973,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes44c1,630$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.953129%9 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes24c1,600$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0519630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes39c1,573$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.561136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No5c1,554$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.4928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No12c1,518$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.9830048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No72c1,275$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6427050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c1,254$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c1,215$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.4227133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes33c1,123$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1117436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c1,026$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.481,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed No61c1,000$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes46c936.79$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.7535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes21c931.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5821251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes38c878$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.642450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes18c834.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ed2…8958backed Yes77c820.72$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c800.31$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.021,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No63c781.63$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes40c750.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.222142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes36c564$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9417542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes52c555.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c553.48$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c538.11$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.431,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c528$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.223435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes19c521.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.056572.3%47 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes46c508.98$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.436235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c440$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes23c427.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010326.2%27 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c408.63$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.881740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No25c384$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28816747.9%80 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes40c376.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No58c341.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.914362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…2232backed Yes75c333.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes17c329.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c329.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.011,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae56…8c22backed Yes16c303.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes33c273.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005322.6%12 W · 41 L-9.0wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c268$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.741,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No19c239.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No22c237.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.272450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes37c232.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.110846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked No61c219$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.414257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Yes49c218.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.428537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Yes29c204.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes40c201.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586926.1%18 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes35c199.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.995949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes58c174.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.727442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No56c172.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No26c167.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.957951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2939127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c148.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No62c141.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No61c135.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0214954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes40c133$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No65c131$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.479452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Yes59c129.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.33941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes18c126.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes33c125.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.845335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Yes19c124.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes25c118.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c100.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385076%38 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4039853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9a…f2a8backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid+20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes15c99.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994613%6 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes41c95.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes24c93.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes40c90.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0613228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes25c82.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5213335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Yes35c81.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Yes46c75.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93c…bdb1backed Yes55c72.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No61c71.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.945950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes40c70.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1720142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No32c70.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5545946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25034%17 W · 33 L-9.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.