South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400d6eec3fe6cd3c889e4dcb10d371e74d9716430f8fe46e35c31ec12b913d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 49c | 6,477$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 6,272$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 47c | 6,117$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.51 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 3,894$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 3,539$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 3,321$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.01 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 2,368$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 2,230$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.55 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 57c | 1,629$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.25 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,604$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 51c | 1,496$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 56c | 1,339$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.09 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 1,267$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.58 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 36c | 1,096$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.54 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 6c | 943.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 911.22$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.72 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 712.12$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 706.38$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.76 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 521.45$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 4c | 481.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 427.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 383.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 14c | 340.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 329.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 328.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 59c | 321.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 50c | 319.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 261.81$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 45c | 248$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes | 33c | 220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 206.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…08bcbacked Yes | 17c | 203.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 195.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 181.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 69c | 155$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 60c | 128.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 20c | 125.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 48c | 120.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 35c | 119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 68c | 94.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 51c | 86.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 71.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 33c | 70.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 68c | 66.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…58eabacked No | 79c | 56.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 61c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 69c | 52.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Yes | 40c | 51.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 49.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 27c | 44.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…f1f4backed No | 77c | 44.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 60c | 42.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…f2a8backed Yes | 34c | 39.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…d47cbacked Yes | 40c | 37.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 75c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…d33fbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 76c | 29.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Yes | 61c | 26.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…922cbacked No | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…6dfcbacked No | 75c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed No | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 50c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 66c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…f656backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.