South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6fc72d71e89959bd722a8e7466538b36da1c7dcaa738c69878432ac9765409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 3,947$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,292$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 3,193$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.85 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 2,452$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 35c | 2,290$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 2,075$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 5c | 1,839$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…c9f0backed Yes | 74c | 1,726$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 1,700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,589$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 78c | 1,585$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.81 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 1,481$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.08 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 1,048$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.75 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 884.27$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 30c | 741.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.93 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 615.62$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 614.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 433.81$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 385.47$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.33 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 356.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.94 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 12c | 348.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 27c | 335$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 334.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 319.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 316.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 310$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 30c | 273$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 266.18$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 35c | 232.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 166.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 68c | 159.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Yes | 31c | 158.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 31c | 153.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 70c | 147$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 140.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 128.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 126.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 126.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…b597backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 70c | 92.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 81.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…fc7bbacked Yes | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 60c | 73.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 70.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 35c | 65.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…f656backed Yes | 29c | 65.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 63.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 59.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…f5dfbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 32c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…e70bbacked No | 73c | 50.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed No | 60c | 24.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 20.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…c6d3backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…55d2backed Yes | 74c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-11?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.