TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes8c7,465$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.391136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes0c5,271$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes9c5,001$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.997034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…5100backed Yes10c3,715$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes8c3,712$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes14c3,565$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+127.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No66c3,206$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.0113832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes17c3,018$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes38c2,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…85fcbacked Yes35c1,564$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…461dbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes13c1,462$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.291435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes28c1,378$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.813348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e7…814cbacked Yes12c1,285$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1096…0332backed Yes23c1,164$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes17c1,148$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.171020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes25c1,147$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.411430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No57c1,130$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.916939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No73c1,066$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb14c…9687backed Yes1c1,033$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011241.1%46 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c75…978ebacked Yes13c961.39$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes33c899.92$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.48949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8324…57fdbacked Yes11c888.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+90.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked No80c855.57$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d4…8981backed Yes12c799.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a97…cc3bbacked Yes34c680.75$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes9c678.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4711628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038a…f8abbacked Yes12c642$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes12c599.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360d…354cbacked Yes13c564.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65cc…2f9cbacked Yes22c532.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed No56c506.41$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8db…bbddbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7028…e0e9backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae93…7120backed Yes11c470.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No52c464.97$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.341070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e22…a4f8backed Yes9c460$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes11c444$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8412324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x614b…21bebacked Yes62c434.76$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes11c431$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.831926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…4248backed Yes8c427.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes9c421$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9aa…54c8backed Yes64c401.05$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes13c400.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9c…d2bdbacked Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Yes27c397.17$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c392.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8722834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x296f…6fbfbacked Yes13c360.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bed…5b30backed Yes10c359.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8163…1f3cbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2142…e744backed Yes12c333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3401…08ffbacked Yes13c330.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ea5…ea00backed Yes32c323.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2618…3741backed Yes20c320.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes17c311.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes16c308.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6e…2be1backed Yes13c308.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89a6…02cfbacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes15c302.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.324712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19217337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941b…e07dbacked No35c298.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c281.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.452037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes24c279.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.92955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…c57fbacked Yes12c273.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…959bbacked Yes12c269.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.022152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6c…51d7backed Yes42c248.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e6…9b58backed Yes7c242.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes27c239.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.561250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes11c238.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.243650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…eb12backed No40c237.82$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305332.1%17 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe406…858cbacked Yes11c230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c4…df8abacked Yes35c229.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed No43c221.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes12c221.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Yes9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…3f3fbacked Yes11c212.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.171540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No61c203.01$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Yes31c197.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.347038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e0…7397backed Yes36c197.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…b99cbacked No70c191.96$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…6b16backed Yes7c187.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4d…4648backed Yes12c185.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Yes7c185.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed No68c181.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.971414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes11c177.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c4…f4e9backed Yes9c177$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd12…514bbacked Yes12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb47a…7418backed Yes43c166.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e0…1db9backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb04e…18fabacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0336…0f75backed No36c158.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…41bfbacked Yes65c154.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.