Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5e50a99324a2331a5b7475e0af2ae8bf9e5d40b6511a3b1371e472c2e502d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Moutet | 7c | 25,359$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Moutet | 3c | 15,004$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Moutet | 1c | 6,287$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Moutet | 9c | 5,626$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Moutet | 7c | 4,355$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.41 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Moutet | 1c | 4,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Moutet | 1c | 3,495$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Moutet | 12c | 3,425$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Moutet | 7c | 3,245$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Moutet | 18c | 2,250$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.06 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…35a9backed Moutet | 20c | 1,412$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Moutet | 14c | 1,381$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Moutet | 16c | 1,345$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Moutet | 18c | 1,260$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Moutet | 10c | 1,154$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Moutet | 17c | 1,092$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Moutet | 19c | 1,002$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Moutet | 19c | 999.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Moutet | 2c | 983$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Moutet | 19c | 923$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Moutet | 17c | 754.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Moutet | 18c | 696.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Moutet | 18c | 687.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Moutet | 17c | 682.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Moutet | 16c | 670$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Moutet | 7c | 589.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Moutet | 8c | 541.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Moutet | 19c | 536$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Moutet | 17c | 534.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…580ebacked Moutet | 19c | 528.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Zverev | 79c | 492.05$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Moutet | 19c | 480.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Moutet | 18c | 476.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Zverev | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Moutet | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Moutet | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Moutet | 19c | 393.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Zverev | 79c | 376.46$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Moutet | 14c | 335.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Moutet | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Moutet | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Moutet | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Moutet | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Moutet | 18c | 265.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Moutet | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Moutet | 18c | 244.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Moutet | 19c | 242.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Moutet | 18c | 242$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b33fbacked Moutet | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Moutet | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Moutet | 17c | 199.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Moutet | 21c | 185.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Moutet | 20c | 177.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Moutet | 8c | 154.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Moutet | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…27c2backed Moutet | 20c | 136.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Moutet | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Moutet | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Moutet | 19c | 115.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Moutet | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…da95backed Zverev | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Moutet | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Moutet | 20c | 80.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Moutet | 14c | 78.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Moutet | 15c | 77.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…c231backed Moutet | 17c | 76.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Moutet | 15c | 75.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Moutet | 18c | 72.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Zverev | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutetthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs MoutetZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.