Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4bc68b31404495a68ca9844befbfc6f3f2e7aa4fdb374e603e20cfa40c06876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Zverev | 59c | 10,296$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Moutet | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Moutet | 41c | 2,082$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.71 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Zverev | 59c | 1,862$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.47 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Moutet | 40c | 1,270$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Moutet | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Moutet | 41c | 1,034$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Moutet | 41c | 987.29$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Moutet | 41c | 847.68$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Moutet | 43c | 699.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Moutet | 41c | 503.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Zverev | 60c | 356.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Zverev | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Zverev | 60c | 178.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Zverev | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Moutet | 41c | 109.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Zverev | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Moutet | 38c | 96.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Zverev | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Moutet | 40c | 80.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Moutet | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b33fbacked Moutet | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…aef6backed Moutet | 46c | 70.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Zverev | 58c | 51.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Moutet | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Moutet | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Moutet | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Moutet | 43c | 39.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Moutet | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Moutet | 41c | 27.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zverev | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Zverev | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Moutet | 41c | 24.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)this page
- Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Corentin MoutetZverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs MoutetZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.