TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,072 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c35,388$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.636524.6%16 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c24,415$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed Yes1c20,526$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+374.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c17,057$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.29336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…524ebacked Yes1c15,644$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.48633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c15,423$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7545732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Yes1c13,789$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.491435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+137.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c13,747$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.513745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c13,501$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.093929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes2c11,892$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.332070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+75.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed Yes2c9,072$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed Yes2c9,000$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4423545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69b…6083backed Yes3c6,913$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.21128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes2c5,288$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.611526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32aa…0c01backed Yes1c5,028$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+476.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes2c4,810$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.391421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c4,254$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c4,039$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21825%2 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+448.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes2c4,030$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.617833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f9…3337backed Yes2c3,662$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ac…4747backed Yes4c3,540$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258b…18cdbacked Yes4c3,364$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,036.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes1c3,193$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.08812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+140.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9f…eec7backed Yes1c3,127$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e81…ccadbacked Yes3c3,100$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ca…55f3backed Yes3c2,938$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c2,931$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.627035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfa…ebaabacked Yes3c2,908$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Yes1c2,883$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510546.7%49 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14d8…7924backed Yes4c2,753$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1d…8a73backed Yes3c2,593$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+254.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes2c2,543$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.999851%50 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Yes1c2,465$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.076145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeda…8befbacked Yes2c2,440$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402240.9%9 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+89.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ddf…f53bbacked Yes2c2,425$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85df…5159backed Yes2c2,262$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d64…5052backed Yes4c2,237$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+517.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x954d…8db6backed Yes1c2,206$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-69.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes2c2,204$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+293.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1204…83f6backed Yes3c2,146$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes2c2,024$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.769031.1%28 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes2c2,014$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.592025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb02a…90e6backed Yes2c1,971$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…ef62backed Yes3c1,747$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+880.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9e…3cf1backed Yes4c1,743$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+657.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes1c1,715$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.551136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2423…5180backed Yes2c1,620$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5e…50b4backed Yes3c1,619$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Yes1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bd…71a8backed Yes1c1,475$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463b…6460backed Yes3c1,467$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes2c1,407$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.34933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+214.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes1c1,357$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a92…db4fbacked Yes3c1,312$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d3…f5f0backed Yes2c1,283$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993b…8552backed Yes2c1,262$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60e…1f1bbacked Yes8c1,257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ad…2e58backed Yes3c1,250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c1,204$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+101.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes3c1,187$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6377…8522backed Yes3c1,115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d04…8859backed Yes4c1,112$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes1c1,094$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…68c7backed Yes2c1,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.571723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes1c1,051$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes2c1,043$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+201%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787c…5635backed Yes2c1,040$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+91.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e7…33c2backed Yes2c1,023$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…f9fdbacked Yes3c1,001$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+102.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.563046.7%14 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2465…8905backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+180.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4700…97dfbacked Yes2c977$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff5…051fbacked Yes3c875.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60d…d670backed Yes2c857$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eaf…9d23backed Yes2c826$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…a6f1backed Yes3c822$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…c231backed Yes2c813.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+246.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6229…4725backed Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf940…ccf1backed Yes1c781$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7c…6520backed Yes2c776$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93e…3a14backed Yes1c761$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f88…644bbacked Yes2c742$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc8…c605backed Yes1c742$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ea…576ebacked Yes2c741$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b02…6465backed Yes1c731$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cae…a148backed Yes4c729$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c7…7056backed Yes1c724$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef59…2757backed Yes3c721.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb5…ff48backed Yes1c720$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc144…f7bfbacked Yes1c718$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…a1c4backed Yes4c676$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd5…4390backed Yes2c660.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes2c574.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.984555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa70…6c7fbacked Yes3c545.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2e…1b55backed Yes3c543.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes2c537.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes3c524.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6912552%65 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes2c500.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc088…fb5fbacked Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a20…573fbacked Yes3c365.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+595.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.