MLB · resolved market
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f297733ff47d610334d4195c109296df51ec3fac02af7abed55adacd4bddacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,172,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,172,109 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 946 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 31c | 300,000$93,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,999.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 68c | 162,935$110,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,284.22 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 69c | 100,562$69,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,035.02 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 31c | 57,730$17,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,744.05 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 51c | 41,332$21,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,268.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…60eebacked No | 47c | 39,658$18,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,947.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 44c | 33,252$14,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,512.68 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 42c | 32,962$13,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,857.38 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 47c | 21,009$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 68c | 19,985$13,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,585.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 70c | 19,850$13,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,816.35 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 16,874$12,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 47c | 11,395$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.77 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 12c | 11,111$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.32 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed No | 26c | 8,961$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 63c | 8,919$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes | 71c | 8,392$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 73c | 8,388$6,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,132.65 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 57c | 8,315$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.91 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…bc81backed Yes | 50c | 7,596$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb4…47c2backed Yes | 50c | 7,375$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 45c | 7,240$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.03 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 53c | 5,969$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +293.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 39c | 5,811$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.71 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 47c | 5,602$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 74c | 5,561$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,135.39 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Yes | 69c | 5,553$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.96 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed Yes | 69c | 5,098$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 20c | 5,003$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 50c | 4,650$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.98 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…279ebacked Yes | 68c | 4,465$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 57c | 4,314$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…6eb4backed No | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 33c | 3,958$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.43 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 3,943$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed No | 54c | 3,908$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 3,838$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 3,631$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.74 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 34c | 3,493$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.04 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 39c | 3,442$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.16 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 68c | 3,400$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,389$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…2a8fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,241$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…9475backed Yes | 30c | 3,176$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 49c | 3,165$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.36 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Yes | 36c | 3,043$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Yes | 71c | 3,020$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 55c | 3,014$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…a34bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,999$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 57c | 2,997$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…47b6backed Yes | 69c | 2,890$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Yes | 57c | 2,840$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…fe00backed Yes | 44c | 2,600$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,586$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.04 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…a46dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,581$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,580$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.17 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,579$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.63 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Yes | 66c | 2,576$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 71c | 2,488$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 41c | 2,337$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…c5cbbacked Yes | 43c | 2,206$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 72c | 2,173$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…c7bdbacked Yes | 48c | 2,155$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…6083backed Yes | 39c | 2,145$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes | 51c | 2,118$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.45 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…15f9backed Yes | 32c | 2,059$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 72c | 2,043$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.88 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed No | 51c | 2,021$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…9f01backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…4643backed Yes | 70c | 1,962$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…f43ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 52c | 1,937$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.26 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…381ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,925$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked No | 28c | 1,924$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,901$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.95 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5041…bff4backed Yes | 52c | 1,895$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 41c | 1,866$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…bdcdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,822$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…996cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,794$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bc…2450backed Yes | 44c | 1,692$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,673$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 50c | 1,671$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 20c | 1,634$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…c711backed Yes | 69c | 1,541$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 43c | 1,526$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.11 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Yes | 72c | 1,519$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…65a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed No | 53c | 1,491$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Yes | 42c | 1,441$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…612fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,414$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 51c | 1,407$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.99 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…c772backed Yes | 44c | 1,400$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…f569backed No | 43c | 1,397$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…4186backed Yes | 51c | 1,379$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 41c | 1,378$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…cfe3backed Yes | 19c | 1,377$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…a559backed Yes | 34c | 1,371$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.