MLB · resolved market
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3dfef5106d481b203b5aa53e0b57126734d1c054659026083fe1223629237d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 1c | 55,583$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 44,479$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Yes | 1c | 14,335$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 11,937$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 11,935$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…6147backed Yes | 0c | 7,916$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bc…ac5bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,916$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 7,255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Yes | 0c | 5,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 4,486$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 0c | 4,175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 3,940$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,853$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +448.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,764$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…c231backed Yes | 1c | 3,060$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…5635backed Yes | 1c | 2,970$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 1c | 2,912$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 1c | 2,638$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,361$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…c6e7backed Yes | 2c | 2,170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 1c | 2,144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…bf3ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,097$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,050$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…9997backed Yes | 2c | 1,987$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 1c | 1,745$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…84d4backed Yes | 2c | 1,683$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,643$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,569$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Yes | 1c | 1,360$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,310$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…1b55backed Yes | 1c | 1,291$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 1c | 1,083$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…f9fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…6017backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…68c7backed Yes | 1c | 960.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 1c | 799.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…7a3fbacked Yes | 1c | 671.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.