Premier League · resolved market
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4882f3c75f3e540a5747dcd142c39bffa0e361572228059e8705411a891c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 35c | 22,821$7,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.35 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 58c | 22,380$12,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,469.34 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 50c | 17,245$8,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,611.45 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 53c | 16,747$8,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,943.15 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…2df8backed Yes | 47c | 16,700$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,902.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 34c | 15,000$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked No | 52c | 7,886$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 35c | 7,878$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 47c | 7,744$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 54c | 6,899$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.66 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed No | 46c | 6,462$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed Yes | 55c | 6,423$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 46c | 6,042$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.31 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 60c | 5,605$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…485bbacked Yes | 75c | 5,379$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked No | 53c | 5,104$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 4,974$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 39c | 4,847$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…d66fbacked Yes | 49c | 4,384$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed No | 4c | 4,270$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 52c | 3,992$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 78c | 3,975$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…d4a9backed No | 56c | 3,962$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 38c | 3,598$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.14 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 49c | 3,046$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.71 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…57bcbacked Yes | 37c | 3,009$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 53c | 2,765$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.45 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 7c | 2,756$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…9d99backed Yes | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…b42bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,638$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 55c | 2,504$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 64c | 2,454$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 55c | 2,283$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed No | 46c | 2,227$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes | 35c | 2,225$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 42c | 2,170$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 76c | 1,947$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 46c | 1,871$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed No | 1c | 1,849$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…8378backed Yes | 57c | 1,770$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 60c | 1,755$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…809ebacked No | 42c | 1,715$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 49c | 1,527$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 1,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 54c | 1,446$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.86 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 66c | 1,410$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,373$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.49 | 290 | 24.8%72 W · 218 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,359$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 1,354$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.84 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 59c | 1,346$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 45c | 1,328$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.37 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 65c | 1,286$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 61c | 1,239$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 50c | 1,186$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.64 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…6538backed Yes | 65c | 1,156$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…bef4backed Yes | 46c | 1,130$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…b1b3backed Yes | 76c | 1,122$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 51c | 1,110$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…3a32backed Yes | 41c | 1,100$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…e26dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,097$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b65…b928backed Yes | 43c | 1,059$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…c170backed Yes | 41c | 1,030$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,002$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 1,002$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…bb09backed Yes | 43c | 999.67$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 78c | 947.69$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 59c | 933.14$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.62 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…1d6dbacked Yes | 43c | 928.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 919.92$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 24c | 913.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.07 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 55c | 893.64$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.14 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…495abacked No | 52c | 889.78$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 42c | 885.25$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 38c | 868.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.13 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…07b0backed Yes | 74c | 859.3$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 47c | 839.3$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.61 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2e…d3e5backed Yes | 67c | 831.06$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 830.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…5668backed Yes | 66c | 828.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…82b4backed No | 45c | 810.53$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 56c | 805.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.38 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 31c | 769.3$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 742$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.07 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 50c | 739.03$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Yes | 70c | 709.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 4c | 696.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 2c | 677$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 49c | 673.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…f706backed Yes | 30c | 673.58$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e353backed Yes | 53c | 666.3$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 50c | 660.39$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 53c | 650.96$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 42c | 636.02$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.12 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…638bbacked Yes | 32c | 632.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 625.81$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 607.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?this page
- Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Kieran McKenna be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Laurent Blanc be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Xabi Alonso be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Xavi be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.