Premier League · resolved market
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8febfe00f8155a3ecfc4af5da7b4283f14b7f6b726217d2c600dcc326d8f50ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 30c | 7,855$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.42 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed No | 66c | 7,302$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 65c | 4,849$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 39c | 3,919$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 61c | 3,648$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.97 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 52c | 3,332$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed No | 68c | 3,315$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 62c | 3,216$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.11 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yes | 42c | 2,721$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Yes | 63c | 2,382$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 57c | 2,352$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 62c | 1,990$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…36f7backed Yes | 38c | 1,943$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 5c | 1,926$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…f706backed Yes | 23c | 1,629$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 67c | 1,466$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 11c | 1,417$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 29c | 1,324$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.89 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,250$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 66c | 1,223$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Yes | 39c | 1,025$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 918.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 27c | 899.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…37ddbacked Yes | 31c | 897.24$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 36c | 865.87$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…ab64backed Yes | 51c | 851.67$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 62c | 799.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 17c | 784.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…6538backed Yes | 40c | 753.85$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f74ebacked Yes | 36c | 751.91$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 722.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 50c | 710.32$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 705.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 72c | 687.29$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 679.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked No | 52c | 657.77$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 62c | 630.04$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…117ebacked Yes | 41c | 613.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 61c | 589$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 583.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked No | 75c | 572.7$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 79c | 571.8$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…e945backed Yes | 36c | 549$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 10c | 541.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Yes | 38c | 527.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…e71bbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed No | 61c | 519.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…9da8backed Yes | 35c | 519.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…5c7ebacked Yes | 38c | 519.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 510.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…0326backed No | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 32c | 489.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 67c | 467$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 39c | 465$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 59c | 455.17$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 434.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…9b68backed No | 59c | 433.8$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed No | 66c | 429.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…19f4backed Yes | 9c | 422.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 34c | 417$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 33c | 415.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 41c | 395$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 59c | 395$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…ea97backed Yes | 44c | 392.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 33c | 380.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…4bdfbacked Yes | 43c | 379.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 373.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ab…6ef5backed Yes | 6c | 360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…2992backed Yes | 35c | 355.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Yes | 39c | 352.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 350$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 64c | 339.35$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 51c | 336.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…7d1fbacked Yes | 46c | 323.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed No | 65c | 323.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…9d33backed Yes | 33c | 306.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes | 5c | 303.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…b938backed No | 57c | 299.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Yes | 38c | 294.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…a809backed Yes | 33c | 294.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 67c | 279.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 270.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed No | 66c | 266.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…02b3backed Yes | 38c | 252.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…cc1fbacked Yes | 40c | 251.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 62c | 249.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked No | 51c | 249.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 40c | 247.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…ed79backed Yes | 41c | 245.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 241.66$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 71c | 239.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 239.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…2186backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Yes | 43c | 233.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…f309backed Yes | 35c | 232.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 22c | 230.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 79c | 223.4$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?this page
- Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Kieran McKenna be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Laurent Blanc be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes won
- Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Xabi Alonso be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Xavi be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.