TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,600 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes1c2,166$24 inLost-$24.011241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf97…8992backed Yes9c1,282$109 inLost-$109.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes12c1,250$152 inLost-$151.8411125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes14c811$114 inLost-$113.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…6580backed Yes4c749.63$32 inLost-$321435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…4351backed Yes14c690.43$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…3442backed Yes3c585.57$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7789…a280backed Yes9c581.56$53 inLost-$53.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c552.96$29 inLost-$28.794712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes3c530.67$16 inLost-$15.81140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes14c490$69 inLost-$68.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…02ecbacked Yes15c489.71$72 inLost-$72.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x717b…6c6ebacked Yes16c309.18$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c5…dcc9backed Yes10c292$28 inLost-$28.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes6c260.85$15 inLost-$15.377540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4974backed Yes12c257$31 inLost-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes6c246.93$14 inLost-$14.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes10c201.92$20 inLost-$19.712037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$12.210459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes10c143.16$15 inLost-$14.7512241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes12c138.82$16 inLost-$16.073221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes8c132.65$10 inLost-$10.26110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1014860.1%89 W · 59 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6e…c7e1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48bc…ac79backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x381e…2fc2backed Yes16c61.89$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.