NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf16b270150eff0a8c490c34b3c382bfaba902e6567fff517ec9bdc88252b91ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,090,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,131,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,090,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 913 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Oilers | 66c | 255,909$168,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,348.88 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sabres | 34c | 175,668$59,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,940.6 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Oilers | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,499.91 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Sabres | 35c | 46,160$16,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,004.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Sabres | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,749.98 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 32c | 33,698$10,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,756.13 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Sabres | 36c | 30,340$10,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,535.87 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sabres | 62c | 26,904$16,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,235.57 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 47c | 22,332$10,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,598.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 1c | 21,999$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.09 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…4502backed Oilers | 0c | 20,022$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Oilers | 54c | 18,552$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Oilers | 2c | 16,465$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.96 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Oilers | 35c | 16,134$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.84 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sabres | 34c | 14,865$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,761.08 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 55c | 14,550$8,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,044.12 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Sabres | 69c | 14,000$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 35c | 11,245$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,309.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed Sabres | 72c | 10,832$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Sabres | 35c | 10,054$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,561.75 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 27c | 9,934$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers | 65c | 9,277$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Oilers | 42c | 9,225$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.88 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 78c | 8,649$6,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.47 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Sabres | 34c | 8,136$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.52 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 65c | 7,444$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers | 64c | 7,379$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sabres | 46c | 7,214$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.14 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 32c | 5,629$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Sabres | 50c | 5,431$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.5 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 41c | 5,099$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.66 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Oilers | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…0ed4backed Oilers | 0c | 5,031$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Sabres | 34c | 5,010$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.82 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Oilers | 65c | 4,900$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabres | 67c | 4,747$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.54 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Oilers | 65c | 4,600$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Sabres | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.76 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Oilers | 33c | 4,401$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Sabres | 51c | 4,020$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Sabres | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…24c8backed Oilers | 66c | 3,999$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Oilers | 28c | 3,536$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.58 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Sabres | 68c | 3,466$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.4 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 65c | 3,425$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.5 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 68c | 3,251$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 34c | 3,182$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Sabres | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oilers | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Sabres | 69c | 2,770$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers | 65c | 2,584$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.94 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…2c17backed Sabres | 35c | 2,525$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 67c | 2,440$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.95 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Oilers | 55c | 2,335$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.45 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 66c | 2,317$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sabres | 34c | 2,054$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.5 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sabres | 35c | 2,029$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.57 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oilers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Oilers | 12c | 1,988$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 74c | 1,974$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 33c | 1,843$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.66 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 65c | 1,734$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.61 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Sabres | 80c | 1,593$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.97 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Sabres | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Oilers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…2141backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…24d3backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…ccc2backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…6affbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…c87dbacked Sabres | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…2694backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…2cbebacked Sabres | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…f9d5backed Sabres | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…16d2backed Sabres | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…ccd7backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…f21dbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…63f1backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…0f08backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…d92ebacked Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eb10backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…e45ebacked Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacaa…b57cbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…d0c4backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…926fbacked Sabres | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…c21cbacked Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…4528backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…fe85backed Sabres | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…7b38backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704b…00f6backed Sabres | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2c0cbacked Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…b0e5backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…b647backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b5…0897backed Oilers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Oilersthis page
- Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.