NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8a0b0dc55698f7003c30eecac083f7aa3b8fd331fcdd0c5ca0794373826e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 54c | 272,472$146,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,615.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 46c | 64,830$29,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,928.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 38,667$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 24,942$11,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,958.72 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 45c | 24,281$10,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,942.57 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 45c | 16,644$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 12,519$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.95 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 45c | 12,082$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.23 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 45c | 9,643$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.73 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,296$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 49c | 7,960$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.4 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 45c | 7,240$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 45c | 6,640$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.72 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 5,925$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.89 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 45c | 5,869$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.92 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 46c | 5,740$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.33 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 4,300$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.66 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 2,627$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.59 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 2,488$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.84 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 45c | 1,693$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.84 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 1,595$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.97 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 1,526$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.7 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 1,368$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.8 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Under | 47c | 1,071$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.39 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 996$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.56 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Over | 63c | 991.86$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 53c | 927.81$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 51c | 865.3$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 49c | 799.4$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.71 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 787.38$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.07 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 49c | 740.73$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.96 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 557.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 55c | 501.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Over | 54c | 393.59$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over | 54c | 392.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 49c | 364.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Over | 55c | 363.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 325.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 286$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 44c | 267.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 46c | 263.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Under | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 56c | 247.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 246$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 52c | 232.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 227.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 50c | 212.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 204$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 7c | 203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…1f26backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 197$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 197$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 48c | 197$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 197$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…ff96backed Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 54c | 187$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…be8abacked Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…ee08backed Under | 53c | 178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…0831backed Under | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…b5e4backed Over | 47c | 173$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…4ab6backed Over | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…2045backed Under | 53c | 163$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…9c03backed Over | 55c | 133.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…fb72backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 49c | 120.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 47c | 118.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 47c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 47c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Under | 53c | 114.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 52c | 112.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. OilersSabres won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.