Tennis · resolved market
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc8b631bbb243f2e09c5b3bef58e46f90feaf66331ceb2ce57709c8148ff9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $510,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 3c | 41,137$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 32,153$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.53 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 0c | 30,865$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…1dd5backed Yes | 3c | 30,726$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 3c | 24,493$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.63 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 3c | 20,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 2c | 18,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.06 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 2c | 15,334$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…439bbacked Yes | 3c | 12,131$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Yes | 3c | 10,496$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.87 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,282$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 3c | 8,109$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,996$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 3c | 4,035$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 2c | 3,536$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,370$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 3c | 2,976$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…ad52backed Yes | 3c | 2,956$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,941$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 3c | 2,581$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…4030backed Yes | 4c | 2,253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…5912backed Yes | 3c | 2,148$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 2,090$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed Yes | 2c | 2,077$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,979$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…ded5backed Yes | 3c | 1,750$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…9368backed Yes | 6c | 1,738$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 3c | 1,704$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…61a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,674$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed Yes | 3c | 1,484$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 2c | 1,357$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,295$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,078$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 3c | 1,047$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,023$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,002$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 3c | 869.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 2c | 812.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…6638backed Yes | 3c | 812$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +244.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 3c | 802.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…c05cbacked Yes | 4c | 732.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5e86backed Yes | 3c | 678$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | -29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 3c | 642.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 3c | 640.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Yes | 3c | 621.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…3c0ebacked Yes | 3c | 571.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…14cdbacked Yes | 3c | 515.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…6808backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…1c4dbacked Yes | 3c | 475.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…c74fbacked Yes | 3c | 460$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…8422backed Yes | 4c | 444.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…2b1fbacked Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 3c | 442.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…fa91backed Yes | 3c | 441.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4d0cbacked Yes | 3c | 408$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b713backed Yes | 3c | 400.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…0e26backed Yes | 3c | 398.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Yes | 4c | 295.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed Yes | 4c | 270.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.