Tennis · resolved market
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f4f33d14006b1996c3f27007a6a28317111f957664b3ea21d91aced5635e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Yes | 4c | 264,211$9,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552.29 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…e9b9backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 3c | 20,008$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 15,772$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.06 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…439bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,514$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 1c | 10,227$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,578$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 3c | 7,335$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 3c | 7,033$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 4c | 5,558$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…2468backed Yes | 4c | 4,475$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 3,789$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 4c | 3,319$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 3,170$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 3c | 3,110$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed Yes | 4c | 2,852$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 1c | 2,800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,521$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 4c | 1,657$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,375$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 3c | 1,356$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,341$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…5a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,330$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Yes | 3c | 1,108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,078$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…403dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,035$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 4c | 1,001$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 3c | 993.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 3c | 978.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 3c | 953.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 3c | 948.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 4c | 697.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…2b1fbacked Yes | 3c | 625.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…4c73backed Yes | 3c | 555.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 3c | 546$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…5912backed Yes | 4c | 534.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…1c4dbacked Yes | 4c | 527.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 504.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…0165backed Yes | 3c | 435$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…61a7backed Yes | 6c | 420.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…f433backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 4c | 384.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…b0d6backed Yes | 3c | 351$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…d63fbacked Yes | 4c | 350.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…80c2backed Yes | 3c | 343$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…14cdbacked Yes | 4c | 296.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.