TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,159,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,330,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,159,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Yes7c912,663$61,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,146.8314243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes6c320,437$19,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,857.3511230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a7…2f87backed Yes6c63,970$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes7c50,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Yes6c42,620$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes6c35,797$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.6933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea98…ce4dbacked Yes7c30,688$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes5c23,694$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.3960%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes5c22,317$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.3552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Yes5c20,600$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes6c18,747$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.288650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b7…52bdbacked Yes6c16,114$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3d…f091backed Yes7c14,406$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4976…d25cbacked Yes5c14,300$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.8540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+415%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes6c14,089$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.8924229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes6c12,513$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.411225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes6c12,206$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.911,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes8c11,759$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.422133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa9…e31fbacked Yes7c10,647$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e42…5d61backed Yes6c8,675$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Yes7c8,571$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c8,555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.772,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes5c7,567$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.365950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes6c7,338$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.2545737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc84e…5616backed Yes7c7,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes6c6,765$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.382751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2998…b425backed Yes7c6,666$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.951942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes8c6,440$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes7c6,180$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes5c5,659$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.812050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes5c5,624$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.47944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick24cpaid+111.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1934…8478backed Yes3c5,298$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes5c5,196$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2122344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Yes6c5,189$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x190e…9f29backed Yes6c5,155$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf007…10b4backed Yes6c5,032$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.91225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+122.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x623a…5e86backed Yes6c4,919$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.17728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid-29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5804…dc41backed Yes5c4,915$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.166553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a41…d1fbbacked Yes7c4,910$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-83.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes6c4,865$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.743336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes5c4,820$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.173435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes5c4,185$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.21100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes6c3,863$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.472326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes5c3,839$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc8…e1c0backed Yes7c3,788$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes5c3,625$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.253441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes6c3,353$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.131855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes5c3,300$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.912954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5367…0c6abacked Yes6c3,179$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfa…520dbacked Yes6c3,172$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6547…b42abacked Yes7c3,154$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes7c3,000$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes6c3,000$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1775648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes5c3,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Yes6c2,811$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16715324.8%38 W · 115 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes8c2,792$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes8c2,769$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x679c…f8ddbacked Yes7c2,727$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.74837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes5c2,718$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.625639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes7c2,680$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6210138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c71…2090backed Yes6c2,580$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes5c2,500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes7c2,342$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes5c2,263$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.416524.6%16 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes7c2,240$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506921.7%15 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes6c2,228$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes6c2,150$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.248643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes5c2,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054628.3%13 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Yes7c1,733$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f2…212ebacked Yes6c1,730$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes6c1,685$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f77…c352backed Yes6c1,664$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…61a7backed Yes6c1,659$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes8c1,580$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef7…c9f4backed Yes5c1,550$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2258…8f8fbacked Yes7c1,533$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes7c1,500$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.242231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Yes6c1,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x24ff…10d0backed Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1353…9f50backed Yes7c1,496$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Yes7c1,491$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9af…85c0backed Yes7c1,461$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+119%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes6c1,400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.999247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a5…baffbacked Yes4c1,400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes5c1,380$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.961533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Yes8c1,360$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.97041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes8c1,342$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd702…019cbacked Yes7c1,338$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+135.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1318…df41backed Yes7c1,181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes6c1,165$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.64520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes7c1,071$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.752725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc679…4914backed Yes7c1,067$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633d…ac92backed Yes6c1,051$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes1c1,047$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae2…9d52backed Yes8c1,033$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes6c1,026$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5928828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes6c1,009$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.581283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.