Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb525045d526bacd617998521fff514a28ffec9254a49d706d52efaf298abbb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Yes | 4c | 200,015$8,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 4c | 35,139$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.81 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 4c | 25,723$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 4c | 25,310$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 1c | 18,215$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes | 4c | 12,127$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.47 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed Yes | 4c | 9,601$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…15d7backed Yes | 5c | 8,300$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 3c | 8,167$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 3c | 4,161$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,995$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 3,684$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 4c | 3,651$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 4c | 3,400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,746$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 3c | 2,427$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 3c | 2,198$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 3c | 2,103$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,665$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…4b97backed Yes | 3c | 1,605$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,568$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,557$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 7c | 1,503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 4c | 1,386$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…7631backed Yes | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…5a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,293$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…5198backed Yes | 4c | 1,110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 3c | 1,109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 4c | 1,057$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 4c | 875$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 4c | 810.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 4c | 790.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes | 4c | 782.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 4c | 603$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 5c | 595.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…8ad5backed Yes | 4c | 519.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…0f11backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 3c | 483.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9029…5386backed Yes | 4c | 471$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d1…78f3backed Yes | 4c | 440$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…349dbacked Yes | 3c | 370$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 4c | 369.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…4400backed Yes | 4c | 368$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…7909backed Yes | 5c | 353$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Yes | 4c | 348.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…8325backed Yes | 4c | 339$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…2c57backed Yes | 4c | 319$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…3c4fbacked Yes | 3c | 317$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…61bfbacked Yes | 3c | 303$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…8784backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…4030backed Yes | 7c | 289.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…c2b3backed Yes | 4c | 289$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…84d8backed Yes | 4c | 268$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 4c | 250.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…14cdbacked Yes | 5c | 225.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…5912backed Yes | 5c | 201.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.