Tennis · resolved market
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc658e1257f4adae79aa786e925b3728f4e8e1d255081a2e13572c2ad69cf2318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,007,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,007,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Yes | 1c | 497,552$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.61 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…bfc1backed Yes | 2c | 300,745$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 108,491$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.27 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Yes | 1c | 66,484$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.76 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 0c | 58,171$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 1c | 57,429$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 1c | 49,785$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yes | 2c | 36,874$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 1c | 29,144$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 2c | 26,383$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.1 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Yes | 0c | 25,364$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 0c | 24,695$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 1c | 22,725$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b86…0311backed Yes | 1c | 22,211$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,962$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Yes | 2c | 20,571$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 17,028$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…90c0backed Yes | 0c | 16,611$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…e1c0backed Yes | 2c | 15,767$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,469$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 1c | 12,656$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 0c | 11,139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,322$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 2c | 10,228$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 1c | 9,420$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,048$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 1c | 6,908$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…f802backed Yes | 1c | 6,694$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Yes | 1c | 6,469$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…0c6abacked Yes | 2c | 6,367$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 2c | 6,322$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…2090backed Yes | 1c | 5,937$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…8478backed Yes | 1c | 5,591$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 1c | 5,544$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…b428backed Yes | 1c | 5,287$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…9368backed Yes | 1c | 5,115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…90babacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…0165backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 1c | 4,672$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 4,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…84ddbacked Yes | 1c | 4,127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…e3a5backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 1c | 3,445$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,417$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 3c | 2,848$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5e86backed Yes | 1c | 2,820$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | -29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…c2c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…1ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd877…5f55backed Yes | 1c | 2,390$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…b425backed Yes | 1c | 2,348$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…ba79backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…47f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,054$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…d1fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…ab50backed Yes | 1c | 1,691$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,654$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Yes | 2c | 1,488$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…0d8bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,354$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…3c0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…6c4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,213$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 3c | 1,094$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…1c4dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…61a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,030$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…6638backed Yes | 3c | 969$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +244.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…f2debacked Yes | 3c | 950.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…6808backed Yes | 1c | 898$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Yes | 2c | 875.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 3c | 869.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes | 2c | 732.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 650$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 2c | 601$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2ce2backed Yes | 2c | 576.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…8422backed Yes | 2c | 568.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.