Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbcfb3d5df080656df9b67c65cfaf4b56ed8e0e31cc4cede3c910e1548b8859d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Sinner, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,211,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,254,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,211,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Alcaraz | 46c | 168,523$78,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,511.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Sinner | 56c | 160,236$89,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,274.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Sinner | 56c | 132,147$74,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,581 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Alcaraz | 45c | 65,284$29,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,016.32 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Alcaraz | 72c | 58,254$41,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,449.91 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Alcaraz | 45c | 51,803$23,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,568.68 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alcaraz | 52c | 45,827$23,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,886.84 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sinner | 55c | 45,535$24,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,863.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Sinner | 46c | 37,000$17,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,050 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Sinner | 46c | 35,575$16,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,274.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sinner | 28c | 35,412$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,979.65 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Alcaraz | 47c | 32,384$15,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,163.64 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 29,693$12,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,924.92 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sinner | 55c | 28,558$15,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,705.32 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Alcaraz | 45c | 26,800$11,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,857.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Sinner | 56c | 17,288$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,760.38 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sinner | 54c | 16,500$8,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,909.96 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alcaraz | 43c | 15,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Alcaraz | 43c | 14,450$6,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.55 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…06ffbacked Alcaraz | 59c | 13,468$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Alcaraz | 46c | 12,591$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.03 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sinner | 26c | 12,371$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.44 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Sinner | 45c | 12,167$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Alcaraz | 44c | 12,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…cc5ebacked Sinner | 27c | 11,101$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Sinner | 36c | 10,052$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.7 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Alcaraz | 48c | 8,614$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.18 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Alcaraz | 45c | 8,430$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Sinner | 42c | 7,086$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.94 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Alcaraz | 54c | 7,000$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.08 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Sinner | 2c | 6,496$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Alcaraz | 46c | 6,492$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Alcaraz | 76c | 5,645$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.26 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Sinner | 56c | 5,631$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sinner | 43c | 5,483$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Alcaraz | 44c | 5,003$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Sinner | 42c | 4,894$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Alcaraz | 44c | 4,225$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Alcaraz | 45c | 3,763$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Sinner | 51c | 3,753$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.33 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Alcaraz | 46c | 3,722$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Alcaraz | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.98 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Alcaraz | 59c | 3,497$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sinner | 55c | 3,280$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.97 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alcaraz | 44c | 3,265$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.47 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Sinner | 29c | 3,231$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.47 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Alcaraz | 44c | 3,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Alcaraz | 63c | 2,939$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Alcaraz | 68c | 2,831$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.92 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Alcaraz | 47c | 2,722$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.13 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Alcaraz | 70c | 2,468$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.39 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…1f74backed Alcaraz | 45c | 2,442$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Alcaraz | 45c | 2,346$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.25 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Alcaraz | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Sinner | 31c | 2,207$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.98 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Alcaraz | 54c | 2,102$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.58 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Alcaraz | 48c | 2,082$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.79 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Alcaraz | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…b0e0backed Sinner | 55c | 2,043$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Sinner | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Sinner | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Alcaraz | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Alcaraz | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…056cbacked Alcaraz | 50c | 1,995$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Alcaraz | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Sinner | 30c | 1,950$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 1,866$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.69 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Sinner | 15c | 1,863$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Sinner | 53c | 1,855$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.57 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…fadbbacked Alcaraz | 77c | 1,800$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Sinner | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Sinner | 54c | 1,567$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sinner | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sinner | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 1,446$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.18 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Alcaraz | 47c | 1,387$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Alcaraz | 67c | 1,322$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.13 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…7d93backed Sinner | 43c | 1,282$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Alcaraz | 45c | 1,261$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Sinner | 56c | 1,205$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Alcaraz | 43c | 1,192$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.68 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sinner | 24c | 1,168$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Alcaraz | 45c | 1,115$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…ebb9backed Alcaraz | 46c | 1,115$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Alcaraz | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b8…74e8backed Sinner | 56c | 1,066$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Sinner | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Sinner | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…2bddbacked Sinner | 5c | 990.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Sinner | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…2182backed Alcaraz | 46c | 914$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Alcaraz | 45c | 900.91$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…8a41backed Sinner | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Sinner | 27c | 885.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Alcaraz | 46c | 841$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Sinner | 32c | 812.39$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinner | 32c | 783.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.