MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487c3a2595ba444f6b53ff5068f9d75b00d7615061749ba173e60b18c35fb5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Marlins, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Red Sox | 61c | 490,538$297,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,413.03 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 40c | 216,000$86,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,330 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 39c | 140,100$54,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,117 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 39c | 56,931$22,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,075.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Marlins | 41c | 56,100$23,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000.99 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Red Sox | 58c | 19,012$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,008.1 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 39c | 14,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Red Sox | 59c | 7,350$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 7,300$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Marlins | 39c | 5,388$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.25 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 49c | 5,307$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.6 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox | 62c | 4,957$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.64 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Marlins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Marlins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins | 40c | 3,000$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 40c | 2,740$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Marlins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 55c | 2,359$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.63 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 51c | 2,317$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,818$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.93 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 1,775$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Marlins | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Marlins | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…79b3backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Red Sox | 59c | 1,535$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,438$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.35 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Marlins | 39c | 1,426$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.14 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Marlins | 40c | 1,378$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.98 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 61c | 1,283$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.75 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Marlins | 40c | 1,260$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…ce36backed Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…3305backed Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7ecdbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,194$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Marlins | 40c | 1,083$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,061$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,049$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.74 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Marlins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 39c | 970$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.3 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…c6e2backed Marlins | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Marlins | 35c | 865.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Red Sox | 59c | 840.68$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…8aa8backed Red Sox | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 61c | 733$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Marlins | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Red Sox | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Red Sox | 60c | 633$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 39c | 626$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Red Sox | 60c | 617$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Marlins | 36c | 608.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 37c | 599.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Marlins | 40c | 557.81$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Marlins | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 39c | 548.28$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 38c | 520.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Red Sox | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 46c | 482.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 42c | 430.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 45c | 425.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Red Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…5574backed Red Sox | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 43c | 369$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 41c | 354.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 40c | 347.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Red Sox | 54c | 326.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 60c | 282.72$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 61c | 244.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Red Sox | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 61c | 222.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 205.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 60c | 194$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Marlins | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Red Sox | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.