TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Saint Louis Billikens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,630 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Saint Louis Billikens51c76,589$38,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,818.066245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Michigan Wolverines49c39,591$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,191.6517742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Michigan Wolverines50c30,003$15,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,001.593850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Michigan Wolverines50c25,343$12,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,690.3639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines55c23,539$12,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,642.121,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Saint Louis Billikens49c19,952$9,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,776.623842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Michigan Wolverines48c18,366$8,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,550.373455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Saint Louis Billikens51c17,954$9,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,234.779652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Saint Louis Billikens49c12,636$6,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,191.848148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Saint Louis Billikens40c11,655$4,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,674.49825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Louis Billikens51c11,348$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.812,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Michigan Wolverines49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9710441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Saint Louis Billikens51c10,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.978350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Michigan Wolverines49c8,611$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.5912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Saint Louis Billikens21c7,796$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.7141752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Saint Louis Billikens52c6,685$3,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.2627755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Michigan Wolverines72c6,650$4,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.372055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Saint Louis Billikens53c6,331$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9318744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Michigan Wolverines54c5,885$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.362450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Saint Louis Billikens49c5,604$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.0146246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Saint Louis Billikens50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Saint Louis Billikens50c4,774$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.665060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Saint Louis Billikens50c4,609$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.184656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines51c4,514$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.895,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Saint Louis Billikens52c4,107$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.818432.1%27 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Saint Louis Billikens51c4,064$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.7110543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Michigan Wolverines50c3,983$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.424654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Saint Louis Billikens50c3,893$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.164360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines47c3,660$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.082,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Michigan Wolverines54c3,386$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.751844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Saint Louis Billikens69c3,363$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Michigan Wolverines47c3,237$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.8516053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Michigan Wolverines49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5304744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Saint Louis Billikens50c2,819$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.548444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Saint Louis Billikens50c2,593$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.6561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michigan Wolverines53c2,573$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.385,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines48c2,448$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.643,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Michigan Wolverines49c2,390$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.1214447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bfd…7fb1backed Saint Louis Billikens51c2,346$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.442045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Michigan Wolverines50c2,245$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.475639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Michigan Wolverines50c2,168$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.16331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Saint Louis Billikens53c2,113$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.151947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Michigan Wolverines48c2,053$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.810648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Michigan Wolverines47c2,006$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.1374152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Saint Louis Billikens50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d880backed Saint Louis Billikens50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Saint Louis Billikens50c1,989$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9618048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Saint Louis Billikens50c1,970$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,959$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.494337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,949$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.024438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Michigan Wolverines49c1,779$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.416142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,764$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.072737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa5…8232backed Michigan Wolverines49c1,635$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…e313backed Michigan Wolverines51c1,555$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.91782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+52.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Saint Louis Billikens66c1,509$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Michigan Wolverines49c1,458$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.471,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Saint Louis Billikens52c1,455$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Saint Louis Billikens50c1,416$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Michigan Wolverines50c1,375$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.4112344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Michigan Wolverines49c1,368$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.7819958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,205$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.661637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Michigan Wolverines48c1,114$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Saint Louis Billikens54c1,102$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.784546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,056$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5285552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Saint Louis Billikens52c1,043$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.227550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Michigan Wolverines47c1,025$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.152969%20 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Michigan Wolverines50c1,021$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.518556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x295e…218abacked Michigan Wolverines50c1,010$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Michigan Wolverines48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Saint Louis Billikens50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Michigan Wolverines50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Saint Louis Billikens50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Michigan Wolverines50c994.57$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2810443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Saint Louis Billikens51c971.82$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6313350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Saint Louis Billikens50c951.4$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.714346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Saint Louis Billikens53c933.3$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6512749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Michigan Wolverines50c883.89$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.957938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Saint Louis Billikens53c877.38$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.011,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Saint Louis Billikens54c859.99$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.098444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michigan Wolverines46c858.57$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.351,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Michigan Wolverines49c809.19$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.693743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Michigan Wolverines49c791.68$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.696349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Saint Louis Billikens53c791.12$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Saint Louis Billikens52c741.96$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0631448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Michigan Wolverines43c699.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.996743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Saint Louis Billikens48c696.51$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Michigan Wolverines50c688.42$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.235352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Saint Louis Billikens6c626.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.835038%19 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Michigan Wolverines49c623.07$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.772755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Michigan Wolverines49c606.89$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Michigan Wolverines49c606.89$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.516643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec9…75c7backed Michigan Wolverines50c581$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Michigan Wolverines50c571.34$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.673138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Saint Louis Billikens52c555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Michigan Wolverines47c526.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Michigan Wolverines49c522.6$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.531957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Michigan Wolverines49c515$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Saint Louis Billikens49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Saint Louis Billikens50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Saint Louis Billikens52c494.71$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.453441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.