TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,233 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c45,032$21,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,249.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c41,159$20,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,579.728148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Under51c37,501$19,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,125.455143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under52c34,923$18,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,250.5924351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under7c34,130$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.1217742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under0c25,536$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37536944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c11,007$5,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,723.455,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c10,545$5,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,496.212,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c9,989$4,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.9839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over49c8,484$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3274245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c7,665$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.1723243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0608946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under51c5,366$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.834744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c4,227$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.722445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over50c3,895$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.55639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c3,300$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70514447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c2,980$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.351,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c2,937$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.143,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under51c2,927$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.793748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Under51c2,491$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.613333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under51c2,478$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.8525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…5e9ebacked Under51c2,400$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2241266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Over49c2,377$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.263135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over49c2,200$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1336142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.28444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under51c2,006$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.4113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c1,994$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.0418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c1,983$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.916342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over50c1,983$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.2410846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over49c1,949$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over48c1,939$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.765942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over49c1,931$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.6910443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under50c1,852$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over71c1,834$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.718556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c1,821$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.7946246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Over48c1,698$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.961241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,560$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.0542246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over71c1,521$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over50c1,506$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.067643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88aa…ea6fbacked Under51c1,447$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75a6…dbaebacked Over49c1,398$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over50c1,270$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.234143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.151,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5505552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Under40c1,064$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over50c1,023$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.64337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5107938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…1953backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52018744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked Over49c998.64$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over50c963$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfba…80ebbacked Over50c940.8$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.55639.3%22 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c831.41$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Under51c760.67$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Under51c760.67$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.944438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over62c738.59$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.838937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over48c671.99$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.432152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under52c667.2$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.942755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c608.63$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.311,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c596.73$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c499.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under52c495.63$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.733256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over50c495.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8123754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over50c489.68$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.843348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Under34c442.96$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.851741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over48c413.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7755749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over49c404.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3410150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under52c396.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.182948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c389.94$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.773,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over49c360.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4214346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d880backed Under51c357.38$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under52c338.2$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.865350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Over50c337.94$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.972653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Over49c332.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3625837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over50c297.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6927045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Under50c277.55$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.785933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Over51c246.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.624562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over49c242.76$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.813953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c242.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed Over48c239.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.451872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb1e2…fee7backed Over48c239.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over75c236.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5160551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Under51c233.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.951770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+95%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Under51c230.43$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over50c226.93$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.473154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c226.44$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1612054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Over49c218.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.222245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…d528backed Over51c209.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.55450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over50c208.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.152646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c208.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6729650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7c…4abbbacked Over50c207.03$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb04a…1a28backed Under50c205.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.