MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4a39222c11e60f11a481d3df9b0f7c69c3be52890320c56affff463a98e89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Guardians | 51c | 583,750$296,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296,427.79 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 49c | 272,217$133,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,433.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves | 49c | 111,000$54,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,610 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 50c | 50,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 50c | 47,000$23,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,730 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 51c | 25,917$13,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,210.5 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 50c | 24,050$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,045.21 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Braves | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Braves | 50c | 12,239$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,094.05 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 50c | 9,119$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 52c | 7,424$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 51c | 5,664$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.94 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 50c | 4,566$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 49c | 4,253$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.03 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 75c | 4,148$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.15 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 50c | 3,711$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.21 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 49c | 3,162$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.75 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Braves | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 49c | 2,350$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.5 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 51c | 1,970$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.71 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Braves | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 50c | 1,493$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.05 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 23c | 1,284$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 25c | 1,100$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 9c | 1,012$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Braves | 51c | 844.35$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.73 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 50c | 817.87$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Guardians | 49c | 696.33$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.2 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 47c | 688.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.06 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 56c | 635$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 49c | 621.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.35 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Guardians | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Braves | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 50c | 437$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Guardians | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 26c | 257.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 20c | 245.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 53c | 216.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 49c | 213.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.