Golf · resolved market
The Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy vs. Scottie Scheffler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e71ed74b823d2c4f961d4ea2e5c423588b5a3c3f2bb14752b99bc0d2ff02afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McIlroyof McIlroy, Scheffler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c7…3487backed Scheffler | 63c | 1,561$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked McIlroy | 37c | 1,322$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Scheffler | 45c | 858.74$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +124%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked McIlroy | 53c | 645.42$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Scheffler | 51c | 636.24$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked McIlroy | 38c | 483.24$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked McIlroy | 57c | 373.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…d180backed Scheffler | 29c | 217.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked McIlroy | 80c | 160.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed McIlroy | 37c | 148.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…b2d4backed McIlroy | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +653.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Scheffler | 59c | 121.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…728dbacked McIlroy | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Scheffler | 64c | 99.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed McIlroy | 38c | 98.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…a9b4backed McIlroy | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…9afabacked Scheffler | 39c | 80.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…43efbacked McIlroy | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed McIlroy | 43c | 72.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…30a6backed McIlroy | 38c | 50.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…89e4backed Scheffler | 59c | 49.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked Scheffler | 30c | 48.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…de7ebacked McIlroy | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked McIlroy | 42c | 46.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…d516backed McIlroy | 50c | 41.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…6112backed McIlroy | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Scheffler | 32c | 38.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Scheffler | 50c | 29.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11e…5ba7backed Scheffler | 46c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…29e3backed Scheffler | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Scheffler | 62c | 18.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.