TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canucksof Canucks, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$502,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$504,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks69c138,480$95,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,796.011,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Canucks39c75,238$29,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,615.3888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ducks26c66,741$17,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,441.6444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a1…e03abacked Canucks44c59,522$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,521.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,50042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ducks50c46,332$23,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,062.0341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Canucks43c29,493$12,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,855.111955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ducks56c24,861$13,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,922.272,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Ducks57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.9632946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks59c15,699$9,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,194.31,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks57c14,656$8,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,410.371,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…688dbacked Ducks74c13,700$10,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,13810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedff…7218backed Canucks26c13,700$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,138742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Canucks42c12,252$5,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,129.0810145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ducks27c11,078$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Canucks41c8,872$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.77758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks56c8,407$4,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,731.591,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Ducks57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.9710451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Ducks59c6,780$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks59c6,123$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,612.5757453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks59c5,718$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.7754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks56c5,533$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.6752050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Ducks58c5,379$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9915954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Ducks0c5,025$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.698952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Canucks41c4,884$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.9283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks57c4,263$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.311,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks26c4,129$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.5362951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ducks58c3,901$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Ducks59c3,487$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.082955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Canucks42c3,396$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.7330447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Canucks39c3,333$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.1222546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks40c3,190$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.081,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canucks43c2,953$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.4189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks60c2,900$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks60c2,737$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks30c2,478$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.2761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Canucks53c2,396$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.158955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Ducks1c2,288$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.547450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Canucks49c2,198$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.6727150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Ducks48c2,118$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.3618132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks56c2,009$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.1292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Ducks57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Ducks58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1607546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Canucks39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks40c1,999$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.5363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Ducks58c1,750$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01045955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks26c1,719$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9917749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks57c1,629$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.511,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks53c1,496$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.2426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks57c1,481$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.8569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Canucks42c1,400$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81224845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Ducks58c1,391$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-57.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks61c1,302$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.221,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Ducks56c1,300$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks59c1,296$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.641,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Canucks42c1,255$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.7610456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Ducks26c1,125$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Ducks60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Ducks58c944.53$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ducks59c911.85$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Ducks60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Canucks39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4888956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc557…6496backed Canucks75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Canucks38c754.97$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.0836038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0d…285dbacked Canucks41c728.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Canucks48c700$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36716241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Ducks45c691.09$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3113448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Canucks41c682.9$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.917850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Canucks51c660.42$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.4211151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ducks32c645.63$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Ducks39c608.29$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.651625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Ducks58c606$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4817744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Canucks42c602.45$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1811248.2%54 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Ducks59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35419548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Ducks59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35411849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Canucks43c599.38$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6511946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks57c576.33$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.131,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Canucks49c570.45$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.736041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks57c560.84$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.981,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks21c512.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1127143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Ducks57c510.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7219942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Ducks50c500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.69335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Canucks40c476.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbf…2e52backed Canucks43c465.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Ducks17c459.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.818931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Ducks58c453$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ducks27c452$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.51,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed Ducks28c450.14$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.932839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Canucks47c422.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.224045%18 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eec…a523backed Canucks42c414.29$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Canucks42c413$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9331851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks58c403$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Ducks26c387.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7127357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Ducks40c370.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.