MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730ac94cff1bd8be5d4dd3fe8751d4d3dd3a360584eb3516bc7a616b7bdba092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 30,414$17,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,304.74 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Royals | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Red Sox | 57c | 6,075$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.56 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 1c | 5,779$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 43c | 5,458$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Royals | 43c | 5,055$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.33 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 52c | 4,975$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 46c | 4,943$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.95 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Red Sox | 58c | 4,759$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 4,472$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Red Sox | 15c | 4,195$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Red Sox | 57c | 3,679$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.03 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 56c | 2,929$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 19c | 2,733$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.98 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Royals | 44c | 2,360$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.42 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,764$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Royals | 43c | 1,671$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 45c | 1,656$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.56 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 23c | 1,600$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 45c | 1,410$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.01 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Royals | 43c | 1,350$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Royals | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Royals | 56c | 1,250$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.81 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Royals | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.71 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Royals | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 42c | 1,134$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Royals | 43c | 1,065$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.24 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Royals | 55c | 960$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 56c | 941.88$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.27 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 46c | 916.17$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 57c | 883.63$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 45c | 792.44$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Red Sox | 41c | 763.96$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 43c | 756.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 44c | 678.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 71c | 650.68$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 76c | 633$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Red Sox | 57c | 521.05$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Red Sox | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Red Sox | 80c | 453.43$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.74 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox | 57c | 438.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 49c | 436.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 55c | 420.09$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Red Sox | 56c | 416.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 42c | 399.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Royals | 33c | 399.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.35 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 43c | 354.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Royals | 57c | 350.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 41c | 344.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Royals | 43c | 327$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Royals | 43c | 305$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Red Sox | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Royals | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Royals | 56c | 279.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 43c | 279.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Royals | 25c | 267.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Red Sox | 57c | 249.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 77c | 247.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Royals | 56c | 244$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 240$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Royals | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 44c | 227.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Red Sox | 51c | 209.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 56c | 206$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Royals | 56c | 200.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Royals | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Red Sox | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Red Sox | 56c | 199.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 43c | 178.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Royals | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 56c | 173.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Royals | 37c | 162.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 75c | 155.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Red Sox | 13c | 154.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc1…201bbacked Royals | 45c | 149.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Royals | 56c | 140.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 43c | 137$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Royals | 54c | 133.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.