MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4e350d8189043c13ca1fec43673313845c05a1eca69c857a95c5660c9e71a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Astros, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 51c | 13,304$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.05 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 57c | 8,267$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Red Sox | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 4,834$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.52 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 50c | 3,658$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Astros | 46c | 3,245$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 3,163$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 39c | 2,440$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.49 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,177$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.3 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Astros | 4c | 1,744$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 47c | 1,706$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.76 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,408$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.66 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 38c | 1,390$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.13 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,282$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 42c | 1,178$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.76 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,135$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 41c | 1,095$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 44c | 1,068$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.92 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Astros | 55c | 1,025$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.52 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Red Sox | 39c | 990$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.9 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 51c | 982.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Astros | 56c | 883.24$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 49c | 855.19$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 42c | 803$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.57 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Astros | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Astros | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 8c | 749.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 17c | 686.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Red Sox | 51c | 596.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 53c | 530.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Red Sox | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Astros | 49c | 436.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.12 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 10c | 396.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 47c | 390.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Astros | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 50c | 329.26$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 53c | 317.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Astros | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Astros | 7c | 267.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 45c | 263$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Red Sox | 51c | 259.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c32…013bbacked Astros | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…a096backed Red Sox | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Astros | 5c | 219.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Red Sox | 51c | 214.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Red Sox | 50c | 196.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Astros | 47c | 192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Astros | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Astros | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Astros | 33c | 144$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked Red Sox | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 63c | 129.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Astros | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Astros | 46c | 121.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 43c | 115.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Red Sox | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Astros | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 45c | 96.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 11c | 96.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Astros | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Astros | 22c | 93.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Red Sox | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…04c6backed Red Sox | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Astros | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Astros | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…b809backed Astros | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Astros | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Red Sox | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 78c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Astros | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Astros | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Astros | 29c | 55.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…d3a3backed Astros | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…6407backed Red Sox | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Astros | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.