MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d07fa5b17dc1822d6a1770be13612ce9f97b5bf9a662266f0a3c128609ba918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Blue Jays, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 51c | 41,357$21,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,149.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 48c | 17,589$8,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.64 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 15,475$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.25 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 12,267$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Tigers | 51c | 11,913$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837.4 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 54c | 9,320$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.88 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 6,095$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 44c | 4,613$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.56 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Tigers | 55c | 4,185$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.52 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.98 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Blue Jays | 3c | 3,204$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 71c | 3,120$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.06 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 3,039$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.21 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 51c | 2,961$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 30c | 2,626$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 52c | 2,513$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.23 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 9c | 2,233$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 2,066$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Blue Jays | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Tigers | 55c | 1,968$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tigers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tigers | 56c | 1,743$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.28 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Tigers | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 41c | 1,594$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.01 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers | 52c | 1,572$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.12 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 36c | 1,346$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.74 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Blue Jays | 31c | 1,333$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.48 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 27c | 1,300$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,284$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.9 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays | 6c | 1,052$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,022$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.92 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Blue Jays | 49c | 973.9$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 896.88$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 789.84$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.12 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays | 50c | 786.98$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 47c | 779.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Tigers | 53c | 771.13$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 651.9$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.43 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Tigers | 52c | 642.31$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Blue Jays | 8c | 632.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 26c | 529.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Blue Jays | 7c | 410.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 29c | 409.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 408.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Blue Jays | 49c | 407.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Blue Jays | 46c | 402.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Blue Jays | 48c | 386$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 327$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Blue Jays | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Blue Jays | 50c | 266.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Tigers | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 7c | 200.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Tigers | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 193.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 48c | 192.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Blue Jays | 40c | 186.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Blue Jays | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 47c | 148$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 147.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 135.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 48c | 131.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Blue Jays | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Blue Jays | 14c | 114.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 102.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jays | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…c8bbbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ebd1backed Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…4569backed Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…a54abacked Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…067abacked Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…4c83backed Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…0775backed Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…069cbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6523…bfc2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.