NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4e7a6f769873da73570fe02cff6896a7bb574d325d2eb8c0b0000679cc82de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,364,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,391,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,364,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Packers | 52c | 864,577$446,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446,090.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bears | 48c | 449,860$214,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,736.6 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bears | 49c | 308,969$151,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,574.35 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Packers | 51c | 164,447$83,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,367.93 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bears | 50c | 96,574$48,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,287.21 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Packers | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Packers | 52c | 55,519$28,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,749 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 48c | 55,422$26,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,690.65 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Packers | 51c | 50,907$25,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,962.45 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Bears | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Packers | 50c | 37,955$19,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,037.04 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bears | 49c | 30,930$15,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,648.34 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bears | 47c | 24,000$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,720 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bears | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bears | 49c | 15,306$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.12 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bears | 50c | 13,634$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Bears | 49c | 13,484$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.67 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 50c | 12,402$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bears | 49c | 12,349$6,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.99 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Packers | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bears | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Packers | 50c | 8,426$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Bears | 50c | 6,300$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Bears | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Packers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bears | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Bears | 49c | 4,316$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Packers | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Packers | 50c | 3,748$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ec6dbacked Packers | 51c | 3,288$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…c3a4backed Packers | 52c | 3,282$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bears | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Bears | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 49c | 2,998$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.94 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bears | 48c | 2,672$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.73 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Packers | 51c | 2,284$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.38 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Bears | 50c | 2,276$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Bears | 49c | 2,276$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Bears | 49c | 2,014$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Packers | 51c | 1,981$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ae…aa53backed Packers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Packers | 50c | 1,896$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.01 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…686abacked Packers | 51c | 1,662$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Packers | 51c | 1,547$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bears | 47c | 1,438$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.29 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bears | 49c | 1,368$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Packers | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Packers | 51c | 912$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Bears | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Bears | 50c | 799$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Bears | 53c | 747.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.67 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Bears | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Bears | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Packers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bears | 50c | 512.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Packers | 51c | 511.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Packers | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Bears | 49c | 428.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Bears | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…9a03backed Bears | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Packers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Packers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Packers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Packers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Packers | 46c | 332.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Packers | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…7acebacked Bears | 50c | 309.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Bears | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bears | 49c | 290.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Bears | 49c | 284.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Packers | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Packers | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Bears | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Bears | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…469fbacked Bears | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…1195backed Bears | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Packers | 52c | 203.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…bdb3backed Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Packers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…47c5backed Packers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Bears | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Packers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Packers | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Bears | 15c | 194.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Packers | 52c | 182.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Bears | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Bears | 50c | 153.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Packers | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Bears | 50c | 134.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Bears | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Bears | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Bears | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Packers | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Packers | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…9d71backed Packers | 53c | 115.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)this page
- Bears Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. BearsBears won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.