NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20e9fd271bd8765734caaecc683f0433a077e307dce8d5645e64187ea7e555ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 150,741$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 80,964$40,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,273.16 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 68,038$33,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,288.11 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 40,332$20,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,001.34 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 22,873$11,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,253.68 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 21,591$11,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,579.61 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 50c | 20,137$10,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,011.05 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 52c | 15,103$7,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 14,846$7,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,065.65 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 9,989$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.6 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 8,505$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.57 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 50c | 6,046$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 5,787$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.3 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.38 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 3,855$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.02 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 3,574$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.78 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Over | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 927.11$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.29 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 54c | 668.51$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 50c | 508$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 48c | 489.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 349.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 337.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Over | 47c | 320.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 53c | 299.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 233.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Under | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…436ebacked Under | 56c | 179.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…ead8backed Under | 49c | 148.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…451bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 90.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Over | 52c | 85.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…4fa8backed Over | 52c | 74.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 51c | 63.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 50c | 63.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 61.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 49c | 56.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 52.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 47.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Under | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 53c | 44.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 55c | 32.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Under | 53c | 30.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 48c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…0c84backed Under | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…17e7backed Over | 56c | 24.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 43c | 23.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 47c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 22.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 49c | 21.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5this page
- Bears Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. BearsBears won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.