NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48b0765141a153bc2e039b7261c62b06f638a233400d1cd5cef385c6989d8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 12,152$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.75 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 8,898$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.91 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 6,740$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.19 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 6,483$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.23 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Under | 50c | 5,682$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 4,634$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.42 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 2,938$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.58 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Over | 57c | 2,458$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,616$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.08 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 23c | 1,268$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.12 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 66c | 1,107$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.16 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 54c | 830.64$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.09 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 779.62$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.37 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 52c | 656.81$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebf…0679backed Under | 48c | 461.15$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 457.67$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…a00bbacked Under | 30c | 450.04$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 62c | 434.49$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 319.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 296.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Over | 49c | 219.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9f…b918backed Under | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 63c | 164.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 23c | 127$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 119$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Under | 54c | 111.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Over | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 52c | 99.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c63dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…3f87backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 60c | 59.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 58.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 57.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…9297backed Under | 51c | 54.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 52.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 55c | 45.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 42.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked Under | 55c | 35.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 29c | 34.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…2795backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 29.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 23.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 47c | 21.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked Under | 66c | 20.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 54c | 19.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5this page
- Bears Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. BearsBears won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.