NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1d23f93b5efd3a1192108cff5390b8f9a7492bceb298083910fd452b957283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb889…a430backed Packers | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Packers | 49c | 26,862$13,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,162.59 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bears | 52c | 25,018$13,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,008.53 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bears | 52c | 24,500$12,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bears | 51c | 21,411$10,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,491.44 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bears | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 51c | 19,600$10,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,507.99 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 49c | 13,500$6,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,615 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Bears | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bears | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Packers | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 52c | 5,267$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.32 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Bears | 51c | 4,110$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Packers | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bears | 51c | 3,894$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.82 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Packers | 47c | 3,056$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Packers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Bears | 52c | 2,478$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.66 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 30c | 2,297$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.22 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Bears | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Packers | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Packers | 46c | 1,501$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Packers | 49c | 1,438$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.62 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…78cfbacked Packers | 47c | 1,294$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bears | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.33 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Bears | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bears | 28c | 984$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.77 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Packers | 47c | 980.4$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bears | 34c | 882.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.6 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Bears | 13c | 746.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Bears | 52c | 605.79$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Packers | 47c | 599$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Bears | 53c | 488.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bears | 38c | 473.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Bears | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Packers | 48c | 410.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Bears | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Packers | 19c | 248$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bears | 9c | 216$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Packers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Packers | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Packers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Packers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Bears | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bears | 51c | 181.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Packers | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Packers | 77c | 137.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Bears | 56c | 123.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Bears | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Bears | 32c | 111$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Bears | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bears | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Packers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Bears | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Bears | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…a8fabacked Packers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +412.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bears | 56c | 71.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…85fabacked Bears | 53c | 71.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Bears | 53c | 66.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Bears | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Packers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Packers | 49c | 46.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Packers | 48c | 44.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bears | 26c | 43.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bears | 36c | 42.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Packers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Packers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bears | 34c | 40.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Bears | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Bears | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Bears | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Packers | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Bears | 53c | 31.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Bears | 34c | 31.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Packers | 49c | 29.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Packers | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Bears | 39c | 26.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2eb…68d2backed Packers | 49c | 22.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Packers | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…90e0backed Bears | 51c | 20.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Bears | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…8bedbacked Bears | 54c | 19.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)this page
- Bears Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. BearsBears won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.