NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4c5e43092fb9d9a8c07b17af881d4683db81fe78b3442da05be6a12d9ca71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 83,148$38,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,855.15 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 54c | 68,666$37,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,587.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 45,261$22,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,550.42 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 37,399$16,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,348.51 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 56c | 35,175$19,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,472.94 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 29,838$15,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,791.47 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 11,723$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.57 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 6,968$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.76 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 57c | 5,748$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 4,263$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.09 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,944$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.18 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8c…90c3backed Over | 50c | 3,671$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…19f0backed Under | 50c | 3,573$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…50e3backed Under | 50c | 3,314$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…445dbacked Over | 50c | 3,305$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…771bbacked Under | 50c | 2,625$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…8538backed Over | 50c | 2,608$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fe…a661backed Under | 50c | 2,326$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…72cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,276$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…c48bbacked Under | 50c | 1,752$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…6064backed Over | 50c | 1,730$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 1,558$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 57c | 1,402$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.49 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Over | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 50c | 1,141$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,131$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.59 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 842.03$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 674.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 43c | 506.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Over | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 42c | 499.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 52c | 431.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 57c | 346.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Under | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 332$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 47c | 318.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 55c | 289.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 281.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c63dbacked Under | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Over | 50c | 258.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Under | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 51c | 210.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…f64abacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 184.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 56c | 177.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 162.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 48c | 159.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Over | 50c | 136.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 45c | 134.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…47efbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Over | 56c | 97.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ef00backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…f098backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Over | 57c | 66.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 56c | 66.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 44c | 56.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…36c3backed Over | 50c | 51.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Over | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 57c | 43.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…9e1cbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…bc8cbacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…830bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 48c | 36.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…983dbacked Under | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 57c | 34.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over | 57c | 33.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…7cd5backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5this page
- Bears Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. BearsBears won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.