TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c93…a00b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,060
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$1,258.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$2,137.48
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,711Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$2,028.95
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,078.56
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$99.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.88
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.74
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$717.6
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.26
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104.38
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$1,424.62
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,350
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.98
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,930
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,344
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36%+$589.8
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,948
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$406
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.5
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$254.4
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$111.3
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$107.3
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$102.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$106.25
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$102.82
Will Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$990
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+354%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+618.1%+$7,829.08
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+89.8%+$417.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$45.57
Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$102.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$750
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$103.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40%+$289.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.