NBA · resolved market
Will Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142cbe8a91ee28faa325fcd95f9fd35fc2f2384aa3698c2eec0e5d0b448ec651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0bf…6f28backed No | 40c | 110,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7656backed Yes | 60c | 110,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 35c | 9,384$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.32 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a1…daa5backed Yes | 65c | 7,572$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 4c | 7,532$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 38c | 4,675$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.41 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 4c | 4,247$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 59c | 3,300$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.99 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Yes | 62c | 3,159$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.85 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,943$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.94 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 38c | 2,635$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.68 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…a00bbacked No | 39c | 2,539$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 64c | 1,331$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.28 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 61c | 980$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 644.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 59c | 461.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 64c | 391.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 58c | 355$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 60c | 295.51$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…904bbacked Yes | 78c | 283.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 173.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked No | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…bb74backed Yes | 65c | 145.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…9e2ebacked No | 10c | 124.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 73c | 117.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 59c | 84.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 84.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 36c | 75.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…d1bdbacked Yes | 68c | 61.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…edb5backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…cbc2backed Yes | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…5ba6backed No | 37c | 53.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…6c88backed No | 44c | 47.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…0e23backed Yes | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…3f98backed No | 44c | 36.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 32c | 35.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…1945backed Yes | 60c | 33.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…0a51backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe62…1215backed Yes | 60c | 26.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4ba1backed No | 44c | 25.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…0ed7backed Yes | 72c | 24.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…2285backed Yes | 64c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…fe9bbacked Yes | 60c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…cd2ebacked Yes | 67c | 23.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…4ffdbacked Yes | 63c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d7b7backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…cd2cbacked Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…b54cbacked Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?this page
- Will Andre Jackson Jr. win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?No won
- Will Matas Buzelis win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?No won
- Will Stephon Castle win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.