NFL · resolved market
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda8a657998ef072e1d9edd83ce60ada3e75fc4d9113bc3f32a343a93fb1c927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 72c | 25,239$18,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,003.81 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…c94ebacked Yes | 57c | 22,080$12,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,390.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…d5babacked Yes | 17c | 22,000$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +491.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…45ccbacked Yes | 61c | 16,225$9,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 47c | 14,522$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,676.17 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed No | 42c | 14,416$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…a00bbacked No | 40c | 13,819$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 61c | 12,346$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 1c | 12,173$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…312abacked Yes | 25c | 12,000$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,024 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…954abacked Yes | 24c | 11,950$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +314.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed No | 41c | 11,902$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 53c | 11,154$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.69 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…f396backed Yes | 24c | 10,634$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,071.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 39c | 10,256$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…8a3bbacked Yes | 23c | 9,821$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 50c | 8,711$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 54c | 6,895$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.51 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 47c | 6,863$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 59c | 5,240$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.07 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 42c | 4,933$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 40c | 4,722$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.93 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,721$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.62 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked No | 53c | 4,443$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 42c | 4,053$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 5c | 4,018$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.74 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 56c | 3,851$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.97 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…286fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,830$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…655ebacked No | 76c | 3,762$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Yes | 11c | 3,713$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2046…aa37backed No | 76c | 3,592$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bc0cbacked No | 77c | 3,543$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 36c | 3,385$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,304$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…3581backed No | 76c | 3,300$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…9fcabacked No | 76c | 3,280$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…c15dbacked No | 77c | 3,275$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…a8b8backed No | 75c | 3,200$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…f852backed No | 76c | 3,100$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…b24dbacked No | 75c | 3,100$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcef…ebebbacked No | 77c | 3,003$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…832abacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…ed32backed No | 76c | 2,900$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 63c | 2,869$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,832$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.34 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…5ebbbacked No | 75c | 2,700$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…4068backed No | 76c | 2,650$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 12c | 2,555$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.32 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 64c | 2,488$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 44c | 2,456$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.69 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 39c | 2,437$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.16 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 57c | 2,401$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 4c | 2,238$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.37 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,091$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.99 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 8c | 1,974$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 17c | 1,915$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,884$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.3 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 40c | 1,839$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.68 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 58c | 1,827$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.85 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 55c | 1,750$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.05 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 44c | 1,726$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.93 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 62c | 1,711$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.43 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…1e30backed Yes | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…9a96backed Yes | 57c | 1,676$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 43c | 1,631$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 54c | 1,607$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.71 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 39c | 1,584$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 33c | 1,518$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a0…420ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,359$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 63c | 1,222$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.63 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 46c | 1,176$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 3c | 1,172$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +577.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 35c | 1,134$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…4bffbacked No | 1c | 1,112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…3a34backed Yes | 59c | 1,001$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…dda6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,746.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…4badbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed No | 57c | 1,000$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Yes | 62c | 996.44$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.68 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 39c | 951.74$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 916.38$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 4c | 907.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…990bbacked No | 67c | 906.45$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…61d1backed Yes | 26c | 891.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.36 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 45c | 858$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.42 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 58c | 786.21$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…72ecbacked Yes | 57c | 700$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…8b7fbacked Yes | 58c | 699.73$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…5521backed Yes | 44c | 687.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed Yes | 51c | 683.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes | 37c | 620.47$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…42e5backed Yes | 26c | 600$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +207.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…67efbacked Yes | 59c | 600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 3c | 593.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.45 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 51c | 589$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked No | 57c | 567.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 21c | 558.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?this page
- Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
- Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.