NFL · resolved market

Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c5fbe912f05de901347cdf1f592d724aeef91d299c3efe4f129c38376c90275

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $191,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $138,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,849 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee36…3776backed Yes	5c	20,010$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.79	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	10,381$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.01	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes	7c	10,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Yes	8c	6,271$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.9	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	6c	5,279$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.99	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes	11c	4,617$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	5c	3,949$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.11	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	3,921$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.66	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	8c	3,195$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.85	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes	12c	2,938$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.02	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Yes	5c	2,500$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.48	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes	4c	2,168$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.96	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	6c	2,150$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.94	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	11c	2,076$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.93	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	12c	2,000$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	9c	1,987$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.46	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	11c	1,511$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-82.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c4…0216backed Yes	9c	1,509$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.21	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb73a…542cbacked Yes	4c	1,439$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Yes	5c	1,413$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.51	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	4c	1,403$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.98	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	6c	1,382$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.17	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Yes	1c	1,319$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	1,278$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.9	368	26.9%99 W · 269 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	9c	1,200$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.36	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes	9c	1,163$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	48.8%61 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes	10c	1,136$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.93	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d5…b033backed Yes	9c	1,104$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd65…fcfabacked Yes	9c	1,093$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes	8c	1,062$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.26	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa26e…c212backed Yes	8c	1,046$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.87	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ec…3db5backed Yes	12c	987.09$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	6c	934.7$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.06	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	8c	932.84$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	6c	852.38$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	848.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ace…6069backed Yes	13c	800$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+6.2wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	9c	709$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.49	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes	7c	680.31$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.48	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x567d…68bfbacked Yes	15c	653.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Yes	6c	651.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	7c	590.62$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.22	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…a2c3backed Yes	3c	582.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6089…00e2backed Yes	13c	560$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes	7c	525.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	9c	517.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.58	118	37.3%44 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e42…8f95backed Yes	12c	489.53$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.91	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb055…c5e7backed Yes	9c	483.61$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.26	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes	5c	482.61$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	9c	445.87$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.41	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	5c	440$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	5c	387$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19dc…9accbacked Yes	6c	359.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+107.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef2…61d1backed Yes	7c	353.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.43	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	4c	350$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	10c	342.53$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.02	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	12c	324$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.21	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	8c	323$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b7a…07debacked Yes	8c	316.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes	7c	307.22$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes	8c	299.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Yes	9c	299.96$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.24	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…7af4backed Yes	7c	292.93$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-53%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Yes	11c	289.47$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	9c	275.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	342	47.4%162 W · 180 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…436ebacked Yes	7c	271.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402e…5d12backed Yes	9c	265.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802d…f484backed Yes	17c	241.18$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…077ebacked Yes	13c	232.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	9c	223.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.35per pick	42cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked Yes	7c	222$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes	7c	215.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb27…4d56backed Yes	9c	212.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	13c	207$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Yes	13c	205$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Yes	9c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Yes	13c	199.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…8d9bbacked Yes	7c	192.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	9c	175$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb05…fae9backed Yes	11c	171.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9da…f9debacked Yes	13c	161.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ea…d7b7backed Yes	10c	156.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	7c	150.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes	12c	138.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed Yes	8c	124.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c02…217cbacked Yes	12c	116.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x596a…6afdbacked Yes	9c	112.65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c23…2b66backed Yes	11c	102.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39b6…e6e7backed Yes	13c	102.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a7…a42bbacked Yes	12c	99.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875e…e6b5backed Yes	13c	98.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	22cpaid	-84%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b3…23a9backed Yes	12c	80.77$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x734c…6b7cbacked Yes	18c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?this page
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?No won
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?No won
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes won
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event