TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddae…33ccbacked Yes20c21,630$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad0…6221backed Yes21c19,600$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes31c14,385$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.5147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…5123backed No79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2b…e250backed No79c5,800$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9374…66a0backed No80c5,750$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d5…4279backed No80c5,600$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7c…7546backed No80c5,270$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…9081backed No79c5,200$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d7d…c5c7backed No80c5,010$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6989…b412backed Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.993020%6 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes16c4,680$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.0283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,947$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.775679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Yes19c3,658$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.511744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…709dbacked Yes18c3,014$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes22c2,853$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.873119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x119e…2129backed Yes19c2,697$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5247…69c1backed No79c2,600$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes25c2,512$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5320238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…8e82backed Yes18c2,365$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.792347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Yes17c2,333$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.614440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes15c2,127$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8719638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc5…5fcbbacked Yes19c2,114$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.786547.7%31 W · 34 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes17c2,058$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.822343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed No78c1,932$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.483138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes21c1,769$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed No77c1,679$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes23c1,675$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2813217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No40c1,595$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9574551.1%23 W · 22 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+235.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Yes20c1,253$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504734%16 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes20c1,143$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.722050%10 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes20c1,092$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.918140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6176…d580backed Yes22c1,004$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes22c999.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.991769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes10c878.15$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.423023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes11c835.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.476134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Yes18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508325.3%21 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c96…abc5backed Yes24c824.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes25c793.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No80c787.42$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.483852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes20c690$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c665.94$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4236826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No79c607.52$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.622434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes20c595.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.085251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Yes17c591.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes6c590$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97627.6%21 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Yes18c570.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Yes18c555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.915746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes13c503.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6732043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353a…55c0backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028659.4%170 W · 116 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…446abacked Yes16c450$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No76c437$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes15c400.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.564531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818336.1%66 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked Yes17c400$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.46827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+62.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Yes16c397.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.234540%18 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes20c395$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.921428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes12c394.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4414844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes20c382.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.872657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes29c347.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5e…6fecbacked Yes22c323.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.094632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9769…7eccbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes22c290.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.828536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Yes17c286.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.849536.8%35 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes16c286.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.825032%16 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes17c283.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1516226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa835…b8dbbacked Yes22c282.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes9c257.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x321f…f535backed Yes17c249.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Yes25c237.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfade…68cfbacked Yes19c225.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f5…7cfdbacked Yes21c204.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436451.6%33 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes21c202.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.569045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302850%14 W · 14 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+98.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No76c200$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3341540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed No79c199.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427938%30 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…f218backed No73c199.17$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5707…eec1backed Yes20c197.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked No80c197.23$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.451833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x804d…5554backed Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea45…e748backed Yes16c185.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a8…432cbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b07…5de1backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef2…61d1backed Yes16c154.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.745736.8%21 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed No78c140.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.35230.8%16 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+85.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes11c131.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.484017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No79c129$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c125.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.799947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1a…36dcbacked Yes23c118.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes17c113.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2cb…ac5abacked Yes21c111.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b6…e6e7backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes22c111$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.977050%35 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.