TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,208 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes2c40,000$996 inLost-$996.16922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…7242backed Yes3c3,567$104 inLost-$103.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes3c2,991$91 inLost-$91.4147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes2c2,833$65 inLost-$65.366624.2%16 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd002…5dcbbacked Yes4c2,807$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,393$36 inLost-$35.695679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes2c1,069$25 inLost-$25.213217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes2c1,000$19 inLost-$191315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-71.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes3c999.06$30 inLost-$30.22050%10 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead9…cc72backed Yes4c907.33$35 inLost-$352133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes1c797.84$11 inLost-$10.595930.5%18 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ed…c5a4backed Yes15c700$105 inLost-$1058037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Yes2c676.51$11 inLost-$10.653138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c506.83$13 inLost-$12.9252828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Yes4c474.38$20 inLost-$208644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb65…3f3fbacked Yes3c357.14$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.