TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9700…1715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$183.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$296.1
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.26
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$619.99
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.96
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$164
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$164
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$82.88
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$103.53
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.8
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$144.2
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$116.98
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$102.09
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$73.4
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.49
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$70.45
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.77
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$738.73
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$91.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.49
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$64.61
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.1%+$567.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Austria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$71.5
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$124.76
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.22
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.48
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.29
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$72.9
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.78
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
All 5 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$567
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$101.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$918.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.