TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Jazz, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,255,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,158,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,255,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad1a…3538backed Jazz1c122,900$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Jazz0c86,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8620843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9367…f6bebacked Jazz5c75,747$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,054.660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Jazz0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Jazz2c46,619$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.922425%6 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Jazz0c46,326$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6516919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Jazz6c34,051$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.791417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Jazz9c30,000$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.5610252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz0c25,148$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1967911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz7c22,956$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.9547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Jazz9c22,700$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0436550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Jazz8c16,274$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31310225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…5119backed Jazz5c15,882$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.224748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz7c15,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Jazz0c14,258$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Jazz8c12,900$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0693438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz0c11,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Jazz9c11,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…d35bbacked Jazz8c10,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz8c10,000$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.8515740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Jazz8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9618045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Jazz9c8,889$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0117028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Jazz5c8,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.997418.9%14 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf98a…f376backed Jazz1c7,390$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Jazz8c7,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Jazz8c6,989$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.123225%8 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Jazz8c6,875$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz8c6,666$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c6,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Jazz8c6,400$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Jazz8c6,121$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6716942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…19f3backed Jazz8c6,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Jazz9c6,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Jazz2c5,001$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.928047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz8c4,979$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e748backed Jazz8c4,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e7…8cbebacked Jazz7c4,300$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2924632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Jazz7c4,082$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.316421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Jazz8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f4…5944backed Jazz0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b5…c856backed Jazz8c3,900$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Jazz8c3,808$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.65745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0f…c9bfbacked Jazz8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Jazz1c3,708$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3814740.8%60 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73d…cbf8backed Jazz0c3,700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b7…b050backed Jazz0c3,602$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c43…70d2backed Jazz1c3,371$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Jazz8c3,204$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.955660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67a6…8591backed Jazz0c3,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-81.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz0c2,975$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.757211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Jazz1c2,733$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz8c2,708$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f6…40ddbacked Jazz8c2,700$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…d3fbbacked Jazz9c2,696$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Jazz8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd36a…e8b8backed Jazz0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105038%19 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz8c2,486$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.433,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz4c2,357$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.051,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf2…3b95backed Jazz9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Jazz8c2,022$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7385248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc141…ef2fbacked Jazz5c2,004$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Jazz9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Jazz3c1,939$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011145.9%51 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Jazz9c1,911$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.972128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz8c1,834$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jazz11c1,700$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9816440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Jazz8c1,600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jazz8c1,574$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.924841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Jazz8c1,413$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11312240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8004…d0f1backed Jazz8c1,388$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118055%44 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz8c1,376$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.091,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9f…dc67backed Jazz10c1,359$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ec…6cc5backed Jazz1c1,256$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Jazz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Jazz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Jazz8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7563…4277backed Jazz8c1,249$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…158abacked Jazz8c1,245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+90.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e2e…220dbacked Jazz4c1,174$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.891060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf7f…17b4backed Jazz8c1,170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b2…5f92backed Jazz3c1,116$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf1…fb9cbacked Jazz3c1,088$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308334.9%29 W · 54 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a5…eb4abacked Jazz1c1,037$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Jazz10c1,027$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9738540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Jazz11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…57c7backed Jazz9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c9…d019backed Jazz10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Jazz9c999.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9055316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Jazz8c950$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7618336.6%67 W · 116 L+0.8wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9061939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Jazz10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b0…fd07backed Jazz8c900$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Jazz9c888.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Jazz8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47d…2834backed Jazz8c874.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.961711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz7c866$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz3c853.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7761336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8d…fa14backed Jazz29c849.66$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.