NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc27409ae29f2a617bdabdc30b1add320db3f0eb68aeb241dd32ca10c1daafcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 61,196$32,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,764.24 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 60,111$28,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,252.11 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 55,000$27,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,013.73 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 29,344$14,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,760.88 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 48c | 25,941$12,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,451.7 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Over | 50c | 11,562$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 6,159$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 50c | 2,366$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,349$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,965$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,832$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Over | 49c | 1,261$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 1,162$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 50c | 898$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 49c | 783.21$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.23 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 749.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 585.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 371.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 356.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 42c | 300.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 58c | 253.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 235.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 49c | 217.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 205.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 159.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 150.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 142.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 140.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 49c | 127.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 123.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 117.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 49c | 107.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 48c | 88.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 50c | 87.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 45c | 81.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 61.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…7cffbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 49c | 57.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 49c | 57.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Under | 49c | 57.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 58c | 56.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…d503backed Under | 49c | 54.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Under | 50c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Under | 49c | 47.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 49c | 34.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…9897backed Under | 42c | 31.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 52c | 21.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed Under | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Over | 53c | 19.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jazz vs. SunsSuns won
- Jazz vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Jazz vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-16.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-17.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.