TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$572,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c461,506$239,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,137.5687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c300,000$144,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c93,560$45,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,503.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,5001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c44,625$21,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,4201,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over47c41,848$19,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,179.4628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfa2…b8dbbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…4226backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over47c8,892$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,712.6429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c8,330$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.41,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over47c8,136$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.2216039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c7,250$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4801,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over64c5,249$3,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.073,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under53c4,570$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.111543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Under53c3,058$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.742638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over48c2,441$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.2711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c1,553$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under51c1,500$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.9843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under31c1,339$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.871,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under41c1,232$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under47c1,166$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.982268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,015$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.381,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over62c983.51$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.731,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c970.22$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c902.44$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.22,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over49c866.96$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1520051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c722.78$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Under31c617.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.724445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under34c599.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.096639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under38c589.49$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0112945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under51c586.27$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29918055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under51c577.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29511855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Under51c511.76$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under53c501.32$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.113644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over58c476.7$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.851,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over50c433$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.56852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under33c368.09$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2817331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under42c336.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Under53c302.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.692937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under50c301.27$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15213751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under51c296.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15115253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c294.94$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under51c286.27$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14615453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c280.32$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.731,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under50c264.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Under4c258.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under53c257$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.211,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Under42c247.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8214155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over65c226.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c220.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over60c218$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over46c212.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6817250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over49c208.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.552,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Under51c201.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.163345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under52c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.838464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4456154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under51c179.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6418250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under51c170.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.129455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over60c155$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.139449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under40c154.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.312,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under41c152.02$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…92e5backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7529352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Under51c141.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…fe8bbacked Under52c137.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.321643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b01…75dfbacked Over66c136.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under23c134.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.522942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over50c127.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6226450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c126$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over61c123.82$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.648852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c115.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c97.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6153453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Under28c97.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.329938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012836.7%47 W · 81 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c89.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c88.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.83,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Under40c88.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.231546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed Under38c86.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c82.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c70.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.011,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c62.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under51c60.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7410452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Over72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.