TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c38,378$18,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,113.7215952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c12,998$6,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over52c9,358$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.051,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under52c7,100$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c6,030$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c5,001$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.472,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a0…5f0fbacked Under52c4,333$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a2…a45dbacked Over48c3,829$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c75…7329backed Under52c2,419$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c2,305$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.51,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under53c2,221$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.0976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c7…9ddbbacked Over48c2,108$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over54c1,878$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.8825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over54c1,386$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c1,223$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.182,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over56c1,218$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.982,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c1,170$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c1,162$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c947.08$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c892.03$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.861,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c859.18$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d97…9ec3backed Over48c815$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over50c809$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.8611543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c800$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over57c668.56$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4840344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.36031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under45c556.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x513d…c44cbacked Under49c552$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c542.58$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under47c536.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.177142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c496.35$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over55c438.62$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over53c394.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6444052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c333$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.491,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c321.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.42,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over76c274.15$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9762047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c240.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over70c239.74$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8211753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over47c238.3$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.313148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over58c224.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1417353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under42c207.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4824138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10628852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Under23c174.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over55c167$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c148$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.733,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c147$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.941,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c122.21$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.061,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over63c119.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.071,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over72c117.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1410850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c114.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over54c114$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4415650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Over49c102.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.726959.4%41 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c101.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under51c88.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under28c87.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.463145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c76.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over76c76.23$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7387…ccf1backed Under20c76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c75.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under48c66.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3248152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over66c59.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1116046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over47c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under34c55.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under23c53.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over53c50.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.185935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over53c48.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…00a3backed Over53c45.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.573537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Under44c45.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over53c43.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c43.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.852,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over66c41.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under37c40.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over54c40.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.476854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c39.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.081,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over80c39.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.011,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c39.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c36.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.655444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over47c36.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3724841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6820558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…4565backed Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.