NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb607f35d492d851a0e0e962d2685c026fa90f30589131fb0542f3f59cbdadb8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz | 49c | 200,569$98,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,034.98 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 51c | 90,191$45,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,193.39 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Suns | 51c | 85,238$43,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,766.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz | 48c | 52,083$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 49c | 48,421$23,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,595.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Suns | 52c | 48,351$25,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,208.64 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Suns | 51c | 34,623$17,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,965.49 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Suns | 51c | 23,822$12,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,779.67 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Suns | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Jazz | 48c | 17,393$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,348.46 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz | 49c | 14,444$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 52c | 14,000$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.51 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Suns | 52c | 13,221$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.11 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz | 47c | 12,916$6,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,060.51 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Jazz | 48c | 9,490$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.1 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Suns | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Suns | 52c | 5,715$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.8 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Suns | 52c | 5,554$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.85 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…771ebacked Suns | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 51c | 5,063$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…869cbacked Jazz | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…5d8abacked Jazz | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Suns | 52c | 4,890$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.2 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…a551backed Suns | 50c | 4,865$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…43d1backed Suns | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 48c | 4,806$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…534abacked Suns | 50c | 4,713$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Suns | 52c | 4,533$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.03 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 53c | 4,461$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.14 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be4…23a8backed Suns | 50c | 4,383$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Jazz | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…767ebacked Jazz | 50c | 3,725$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…2d5ebacked Jazz | 50c | 3,708$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…d49dbacked Jazz | 50c | 3,511$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Suns | 53c | 2,945$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…a056backed Jazz | 50c | 2,881$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Jazz | 48c | 2,850$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 46c | 2,809$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.3 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Suns | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Suns | 70c | 2,223$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.97 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Suns | 52c | 2,149$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.73 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 49c | 2,134$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Jazz | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Suns | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Suns | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Suns | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jazz | 48c | 1,429$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.84 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Suns | 53c | 1,280$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.59 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Suns | 53c | 1,237$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.26 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jazz | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 51c | 1,134$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.66 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jazz | 52c | 1,016$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.52 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Jazz | 12c | 999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Jazz | 49c | 955$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Suns | 53c | 953.36$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.11 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Suns | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Suns | 53c | 852$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Jazz | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 32c | 797.41$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 47c | 734.68$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…59c3backed Jazz | 53c | 722.31$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…449dbacked Suns | 53c | 722.15$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Suns | 53c | 700.1$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.94 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 47c | 699.55$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Jazz | 48c | 656.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Suns | 53c | 647$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4f84backed Jazz | 50c | 645.14$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Jazz | 49c | 632$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.68 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Jazz | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Jazz | 50c | 600.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Suns | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 48c | 595.67$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Suns | 52c | 589.98$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.19 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Jazz | 48c | 558.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Jazz | 48c | 514.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Suns | 52c | 511.54$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Suns | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Jazz | 48c | 479$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Suns | 80c | 468.34$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Suns | 52c | 455$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Suns | 53c | 449.06$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Jazz | 15c | 440.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Jazz | 51c | 429.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Suns | 54c | 409.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.73 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Suns | 52c | 405.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Jazz | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Suns | 76c | 398.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…c44cbacked Suns | 51c | 393$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Suns | 53c | 392.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.31 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Suns | 52c | 387.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 47c | 371.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 53c | 329.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Jazz | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Jazz | 22c | 298.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jazz | 41c | 297.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Suns | 54c | 289$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-16.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jazz vs. SunsSuns won
- Jazz vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Jazz vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-17.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.