TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdd5…fc5abacked Over50c5,819$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3292…1c0fbacked Over50c5,805$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb8…ab08backed Over50c5,697$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f3…c7fabacked Under50c5,648$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5a…cdf0backed Over50c5,435$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a0…dd9dbacked Under50c5,383$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307a…4378backed Over50c5,345$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cea…8100backed Under50c5,191$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c3…9c18backed Under50c5,019$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb4…b8d3backed Under50c4,877$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e8e…7e76backed Under50c4,695$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7724…bd5bbacked Over50c4,529$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94b2…69adbacked Over50c4,415$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f75…69e4backed Under50c4,241$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…3cf0backed Over50c4,133$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee9…5daebacked Over50c4,129$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd78…3d89backed Under50c4,109$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe91…6a8bbacked Under50c4,069$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under49c4,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.986654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…634abacked Over50c3,997$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…867bbacked Over50c3,805$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d5…56a3backed Under50c3,797$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5abf…9c39backed Over50c3,695$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a1…aa53backed Over50c3,513$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…698ebacked Over50c3,487$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2f7fbacked Under50c3,295$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df9…bdafbacked Under50c3,173$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48f…2260backed Under50c3,101$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b24…bb0cbacked Under50c3,097$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…8f05backed Under50c3,084$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…7efebacked Over50c3,023$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaad…255abacked Over50c2,917$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa12b…d9c4backed Under50c2,903$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19d…1b46backed Under50c2,887$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d5…9db4backed Under50c2,823$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539c…9c86backed Under50c2,757$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf0…4eb1backed Over50c2,695$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe3…461bbacked Over50c2,694$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x328c…10d2backed Under50c2,641$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e37…1d93backed Over50c2,629$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f2…ae15backed Under50c2,569$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4e…3762backed Under50c2,469$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb658…7a18backed Over50c2,385$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0439…f7e7backed Over50c2,209$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73db…cd52backed Under50c2,023$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9001…42bcbacked Over50c1,755$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c1,180$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over53c913.97$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under44c910.8$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c700$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5895…dbb8backed Over50c664$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over55c658.03$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d8…2475backed Under50c633$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over55c499.97$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over60c498.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8525657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c452.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over51c391.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over56c358.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.228554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under43c347.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd8…84a7backed Under50c332$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c257.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under14c241.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9414438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa3d0…c993backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c227$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c223.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c204.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over57c188.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8169049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over57c184.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.54734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over57c176.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2213655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4117246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under44c160.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over58c148.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1718459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under42c147.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.031,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under10c138.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1217946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under18c121$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Under18c111.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.667316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.169337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c94.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.281,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c94.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.582,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.933,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7342…9197backed Over58c86.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under18c86.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8326043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc861…f0fabacked Under15c75.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1823657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under44c66.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c63.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0523651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.