TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$352,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c201,708$99,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,899.9415952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over51c110,177$56,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,447.92661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over50c54,951$27,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,475.493847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c26,033$13,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,506.251,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c23,293$11,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,572.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under48c17,917$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c16,632$8,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,168.312,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c15,173$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,503.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c14,666$7,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,055.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c9,937$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.7218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Under48c9,921$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.043941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c9,850$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,924.931,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under48c6,602$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.965349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c5,953$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c5,760$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c5,261$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c4,990$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.6437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under50c4,762$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.224535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c3,693$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.1221943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Over51c3,454$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.839345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c3,115$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.771,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over53c3,025$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.0317041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Over52c2,850$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.0322148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under48c2,578$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.5710651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd39…faacbacked Under50c2,546$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c2,414$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.971,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under48c2,385$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.7527241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,257$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c1,700$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,491$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.552,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,489$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.131,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under50c1,413$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.679952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Over51c1,401$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.847545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over52c1,371$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.8711241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Over52c1,273$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.932458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over51c1,192$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2321546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Under48c1,192$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over52c1,179$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c1,138$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.851,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c1,122$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under49c1,113$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.362356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over51c1,044$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.596040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked Over52c1,005$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Over53c942.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.193850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Over52c920.48$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.669441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Over52c807.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.693745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c694$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Over51c677.07$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.919841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c675.37$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c665.53$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c633.83$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3109845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Over52c489.36$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Over51c487.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over52c467.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over50c461$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over52c441$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over51c435.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5118345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c393.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over52c382.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under51c374.51$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19116640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over50c372$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18616845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c369$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.151,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Over51c366.04$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1615441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed Over52c351.89$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Over51c331.08$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed Over52c324.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.262254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over52c323.08$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0814445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over50c311$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.511453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Over51c307.06$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.183756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked Over51c306.51$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.913458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14719435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14725846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4639552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over51c279$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7113148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88bc…fc0dbacked Over51c272.41$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.552665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c247.55$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.061,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over55c238.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.314156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3626956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under12c223.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8314438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2b48…88f2backed Over51c219.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c208.1$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9821049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under46c199.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9915240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Under52c193.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7981…dd95backed Over52c192.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.011758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.