TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.9166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Jazz42c62,288$26,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,303.610252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz53c47,449$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz53c22,417$11,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,881.061,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz53c21,706$11,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,432.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns64c19,363$12,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,042.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns57c12,218$6,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Jazz53c11,343$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.811,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Suns47c10,091$4,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.481,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns57c8,766$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.123,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Suns48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Jazz39c6,899$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.735660.7%34 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns66c5,733$3,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz53c5,355$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.323,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca87…8e3dbacked Jazz52c5,200$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Suns49c5,082$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.6318349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Suns69c4,370$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.1543269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns70c4,233$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns76c3,922$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.3642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns50c3,421$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.1548546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Suns49c3,271$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.4338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Suns48c2,892$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.672055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Jazz54c2,779$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.869330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Suns46c2,612$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.275655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Suns73c2,580$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.5860444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns48c2,157$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.391,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz53c2,064$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz53c2,044$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.221,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Jazz10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Suns48c1,890$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.7811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Jazz30c1,682$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.54533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Jazz28c1,669$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9824138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Jazz53c1,390$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Jazz3c1,283$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz51c1,100$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns66c1,040$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.32,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Suns49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6919756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Suns49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4159140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Suns27c1,000$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7261866.7%12 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+143.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Suns47c938.6$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.331,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns48c909.31$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Jazz23c875.68$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2117428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Suns46c871.35$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.333351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Suns29c812.1$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.8wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+124.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Suns68c801.58$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.739338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Jazz30c787.25$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7431151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Jazz47c770.57$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5920049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Suns64c758.75$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.917946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Jazz36c720.09$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.912528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Suns27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4382142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+67.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Jazz12c600$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.374445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz53c545$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.852,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Jazz51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Suns39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2444445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Suns39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24417748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Suns39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2447441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jazz52c384.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Suns39c379$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3426639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Suns71c370$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.327357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Jazz7c367.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Suns42c353$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7311538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Suns42c353$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.734146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3e…1e4abacked Jazz10c339.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Suns47c333.73$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Suns60c305.26$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.131,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz15c291.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Suns65c289.52$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.361,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0453…463bbacked Jazz53c284.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jazz53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Suns36c283$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Suns42c276$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jazz51c274.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz23c273.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns47c263.04$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.931,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Suns42c257$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Suns74c256.42$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Suns49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.18541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Jazz29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Jazz34c222$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.94946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.222,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Suns69c221.25$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.951,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Suns48c212$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2416845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Suns49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0851451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Suns49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0466153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Suns49c202.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Suns25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns48c199.6$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.792,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz54c189$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.061,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb846…eb61backed Jazz53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Jazz53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Suns44c185$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.933030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Suns47c182.69$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…4ca5backed Jazz22c182.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Suns25c175$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+93.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c61…db4bbacked Jazz58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Jazz12c171$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Jazz52c157.21$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz27c154.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.961,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Suns36c152$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9123649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.