TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1089…830e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.29
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.58
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.63
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,690.57
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.05
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$869.51
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.97
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.92
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,303.61
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.72
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,319.92
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.04
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.19
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$367.21
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.03
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$428.74
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,904Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$2,335.76
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.33
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,163.91
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$909.47
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.61
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.32
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.42
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.45
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+300.4%+$570.89
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,250
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$723
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.8%+$239.21
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.6%+$1,144.42
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31%+$694.21
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.7%+$443.17
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,051
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$312
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$450.09
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$147.27
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$377.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+144.5%+$365.47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$357.06
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-71.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+136.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$2,012.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$621.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+48.3%+$144.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$526.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,068Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$865.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.